We’ve got just seven games on tonight’s MLB slate. However, there’s still plenty of value on the board. Using the AI Model, I’ve added three player props that you’ll want to consider. Check it out below.
The Picks
- Connor Wong Under 0.5 Hits (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Lance McCullers Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+108) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Elias Diaz Under 0.5 Hits (-110) at Bet365
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
Monday, June 16, 2025 – 9:40 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park
Our AI Model thinks Connor Wong will finish with .48 hits. Yet, his prop is stuck at .5 hits, with the under at +100. A fade of Wong is the way to go.
Logan Gilbert Is Back On The Mound!
The Red Sox have just made a blockbuster deal, sending Rafael Devers to San Francisco. The fans aren’t behind them, and the players might not be, either.Â
That said, the lineup will now have to face Logan Gilbert, who has returned from the injured list. Gilbert struck out 37.6% of batters before getting hurt. He also allowed a .127 ISO and wOBA of .226 with 51.5% of ground balls and only 16.7% of fly balls allowed.
Gilbert was an All-Star last year and was pitching in that direction this year.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Red Sox catcher Connor Wong, who has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .186 over the last month against righties. Wong has hit 58.3% of ground balls against righties during that time and has added 8.3% of fly balls.
As a result, he’s hit a .167 BABIP and has had limited success against righties. Don’t expect him to come through against a pitcher like Logan Gilbert.
Let’s ride with the AI Model and fade Wong tonight.
MLB Pick: Connor Wong Under 0.5 Hits (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
Monday, June 16, 2025 – 10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
The AI Model believes Lance McCullers will give up only 3.714 hits tonight. Yet, his under for hits allowed is set at 4.5. This is another under play at plus-money via Caesars.
McCullers Has Improved Drastically!
Lance McCullers received death threats following poor performances earlier this year. Now, over the last month, he’s struck out close to 36% of batters and has allowed a wOBA of .293.
McCullers has earned 43.8% of ground balls and has allowed just 18.8% of line drives during that time. He’s also added more than 30% of whiffs and 12.2% of swinging strikes.
Meanwhile, he’ll battle an Athletics group that has struck out close to 25% of the time against righties over the last month.
Don’t be shocked if McCullers dominates and adds a high rate of strikeouts. The Athletics have only three batters with a strikeout rate below 23%.
Let’s trust McCullers and take his under 4.5 hits allowed.
MLB Pick: Lance McCullers Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+108) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Monday, June 16, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
Our AI Model predicts Elias Diaz will add .421 hits tonight. However, his prop is at .5, with the Under at -110. This prop has a +EV of 13.3% and has been hit only 57% of the time this season.
Will Elias Diaz Continue To Struggle?
The Los Angeles Dodgers have elected to start Shohei Ohtani as an opener and then will likely work with the bullpen for the rest of the game against the Padres.
Meanwhile, Elias Diaz has added a .018 ISO and wOBA of .191 with 32.3% of strikeouts against all pitchers over the last 62 at-bats. Diaz has struggled against all pitchers and has added a .243 BABIP with only 18.9% of line drives hit.
No matter who the pitcher is, Diaz will likely struggle. It’s all he’s done over the last month.
Fade Elias Diaz at Under .5 hits (-110).
MLB Pick: Elias Diaz Under 0.5 Hits (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-GAMBLER
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
