With a full slate of games tonight, many dogs will be barking. Which ones should we put our hard-earned cash on? I used the AI Model to find the best three underdogs for tonight’s slate. Check it out below before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks!
Picks Summary
- Red Sox ML (+112) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Orioles ML (+108) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Diamondbacks ML (+180) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox
Tuesday, May 20, 2025 – 06:45 PM EDT at Fenway Park
The Mets are projected to win by .3 runs against the Red Sox, but they are currently at -125. Since this game is expected to be super close, the Red Sox are worth +112. In addition, the Red Sox are home and already coming off a satisfying win yesterday against the Mets.
The Red Sox Know Clay Holmes!
Clay Holmes was a closer for the New York Yankees before becoming a starter for the New York Mets. The Red Sox have seen Holmes and know all of his tendencies and pitches. That should help them when they prepare to take on Holmes and the Mets tonight.
On the other hand, Walker Buehler will start for the Red Sox. He’s pitched better than his record and ERA so far. After all, he’s induced nearly 47% of ground balls and has limited teams to 23.2% of fly balls and 23.2% of line drives.
The Mets have shown some power recently against righties, but have still struck out close to 22% of the time. New York is struggling, and the vibes are a bit off.
The Pick
Take the Red Sox at home at +112.
MLB Pick: Red Sox ML (+112) at Bet365
Baltimore Orioles vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Tuesday, May 20, 2025 – 07:40 PM EDT at American Family Field
Our AI Model thinks the Orioles will defeat the Brewers, 4.2-3.7 tonight. Yet, the Orioles are underdogs at sitting at +108 on the moneyline. This is the lone underdog where the AI Model thinks the team will win outright.
Can Baltimore Turn Things Around?
The Baltimore Orioles were expected to compete for a World Series trophy. Instead, they’re in last place in the American League East and fired their manager. Ultimately, the Orioles have played up to their potential. But that may change tonight.
Keegan Akin will go to battle for the Orioles. He’s a left-handed pitcher who has limited his first 92 batters to a .185 ISO and wOBA of .312. Oddly enough, the lefty has been better against righties.
In the Brewers’ lineup, he’ll face more righties than lefties as a left-handed pitcher. That should help, especially against a Milwaukee lineup that has hit a .114 ISO and wOBA of .293 against lefties over the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee will pitch young righty Logan Henderson. He’s given up a .286 ISO and wOBA of .320 to his first 23 lefties, and the Orioles have many lefties who can do damage, including:
The Pick
I’m backing the Orioles here.
MLB Pick: Orioles ML (+108) at Caesars Sportsbook
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Tuesday, May 20, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
The AI Model also believes the Dodgers will earn a .6-run win over the Diamondbacks. However, the Dodgers have struggled recently and are -220 on the moneyline tonight. Clearly, Arizona has some value with a price of +194.
Ryne Nelson Can Hold His Own!
The Arizona Diamondbacks will pitch Ryne Nelson tonight. He’s a right-handed pitcher who has held his first 63 righties to a .136 ISO and wOBA of .290. He’s also limited all 112 batters faced this year to a .298 wOBA, while only walking 8.9% of batters.
Nelson has limited fly balls below 25% and has still struck out 25% of batters. The Dodgers are never an easy lineup to retire. But Nelson has held his own so far this season.
Meanwhile, it’ll be Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers. He’s a Cy Young candidate right now. However, he’s still allowed a .167 ISO and wOBA of .325 to his first 87 righties. The Diamondbacks have four righties who have combined to hit nearly a .200 ISO against other righties.
Arizona can pull off a massive upset against a struggling Dodgers team tonight.
The Pick
Give the Diamondbacks a chance at +194 odds.
MLB Pick: Diamondbacks ML (+180) at BetMGM
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
