Top-ranked Georgia comes out of a bye week with a crucial rivalry matchup against Florida. This is just one of three games we’re analyzing the NCAAF odds to come up with a winning pick.Â
Picks Summary
- Georgia-Florida Under 49 (-110) at Caesars SportsbookÂ
- Purdue +2½ (-109) at BetRivers
- Washington-Stanford Under 59½ (-110) at Bet365
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators
Saturday, October 30, 2023 – 03:30 PM EDT at EverBank Stadium
Hard to believe that it has been 35 years since the Georgia-Florida football matchup was officially known as the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. The fact it’s still referred as that by everyone but the super politically correct at the two universities as well as the City of Jacksonville, Florida is a testament to just what most people think of political correctness.
UGA Chalked for 7th-Straight Meeting
The fact that Georgia is favored by 14½ is a testament to just how wide the sportsbooks believe the betting public thinks the gap is between the two programs.
Entering the 101st meeting of the rivalry, the Bulldogs own a 54-44 lead, with two more contests ending in a knot. Georgia has won the last two, and five of the last six.
It was a 42-20 final in Georgia’s win a year ago. A couple of turnovers in the third quarter led to 10 Florida points in a matter of a couple of minutes to keep Bulldog backers from cashing their -23½ tickets. Totals have split the last four meetings.
Both Teams Off Bye Week
The bye week wasn’t enough to get tight end Brock Bowers healthy for this matchup after he was injured in Georgia’s 37-20 win at Vanderbilt two weeks ago. The junior leads the Bulldogs in receptions, yards and scores, putting some pressure on backup Oscar Delp.
Florida also took last week off following a 41-39 win at South Carolina where the Gators rallied from a 10-point deficit in the fourth quarter.
While the points and the Gators make for a tempting play, the ‘under’ wins out in the end.
NCAAF Pick: Under 49 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Saturday, October 30, 2023 – 03:30 PM EDT at Memorial Stadium
The next two weeks could ultimately decide whether Nebraska will reach bowl eligibility this season, and the Cornhuskers first need to take care of business against Purdue if that is going to be the case.
‘Dogs 7-1 ATS Last 8 Meetings
Taking care of business for their backers means the Cornhuskers will need to cover a small 2½-point spread while picking up win No. 5 on the season. The NCAAF odds also include a 42-point total for scoreboard bettors.
This is still a very young rivalry with only one meeting between the Boilers and Huskers prior to playing annually as Big Ten foes in 2013. They have split the 10 collisions as conference foes, and underdogs have covered the last four meetings following last year’s 43-37 win for Purdue as a 2-TD home favorite.
The Boilermakers have brought home a dubya from their last two trips to Lincoln, the most recent a 28-23 upset as 7½-point underdogs final exactly two years ago. Finals have failed to reach the totals in three of the last four played at Nebraska.
‘Huskers O-Line Banged Up
Purdue had last week off to lick its wounds following a 41-7 whipping at the hands of Ohio State. The Buckeyes were giving up 17 on the road and had the spread covered midway through the second quarter.
Nebraska overcame a couple of early turnovers to get by Northwestern, 17-9. The Cornhuskers needed a fourth-quarter touchdown to gain a little breathing room in the defensive battle, and fell short of the 10½-point spread.
I like Purdue in the outright upset and will gladly take the few points.
NCAAF Pick: Purdue +2½ (-109) at BetRivers (check our BetRivers Review)
Washington Huskies vs. Stanford Cardinal
Saturday, October 30, 2023 – 07:00 PM EDT at Stanford Stadium
Michael Penix Jr. was off his mark last week against Arizona State, and it nearly cost Washington its first loss of the season. Can Penix and the Huskies bounce back this week as big favorites on the road against Stanford?
Huskies Favored by 26½
Going all the way back to their first meeting in 1893, this is about as level a rivalry as you can find, with the Huskies holding a 45-44 lead – plus 4 ties – by virtue of winning the last two matchups. Among the betting trends in the series are:
- Underdogs have covered 6 of the last 9 meetings, winning 3 of those games outright.
- Totals have run 1-3 O/U the last four in Stanford.
- The Huskies were +2½ when they beat the Cardinal in Stanford 2 years ago, 20-13.
Cardinal 1-4 O/U in Pac-12 Play
Penix threw three picks in the 15-7 win over Arizona State, and the irony was it took a Pick 6 for the Huskies to pull the game out. Stanford, meanwhile, was thoroughly dominated by UCLA and surrendered 42+ points for the third consecutive week.
If nothing else, we learned the Huskies can play some defense, and that will come in handy to keep this contest from reaching the total for my final free pick.
NCAAF Pick: Under 59½ (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
