The NBA Playoffs tip off with the play-in tournament tonight, and a fun way to approach these games is through finding value in NBA player props.
The OddsTrader statistical projections have been a helpful tool for those who want to profit in this market. In the playoffs, things change as far as minutes and usage, but we can use this to our advantage. OddsTrader is here to help you find the bets with positive expected value.
We use NBA matchup information, recent performances, and usage projections to find winning wagers.
Check out today’s NBA prop bets for more player-focused action across every game.
Hornets Ryan Kalkbrenner (Over 6.5 Points+Rebounds)
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets– Tuesday, April 14 at 7:30 PM EST
Attacking the NBA player prop market will not always result in wagers on high-profile players. Ryan Kalkbrenner is an example of this truth tonight in this Heat vs Hornets matchup.
However, Kalkbrenner has carved out a consistent role in the rotation, making this one of the best bets on the board today. In his last outing on Sunday against the Knicks, he had 9 points and 5 rebounds in just 21 minutes.
Over the last 10 games, he has averaged 10.4 P+R. Kalkbrenner has shown a propensity to attack the offensive boards, with almost 2 offensive rebounds a game in April. This should play well against a Miami team that likes to employ the small-ball strategy.Â
The OddsTrader AI prediction model has this prop at a 94% cover probability with a +35.3% EV.
- Bet on Ryan Kalkbrenner Over 6.5 Points+Rebounds at Bovada.
Hornets Grant Williams (Over 8.5 Points+Rebounds)
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets– Tuesday, April 14 at 7:30 PM ET
We’re going to target the Heat defense once again with Grant Williams. Williams has seen a steady increase in his minutes over the final stretch.
In high-leverage games in April, he averaged 5 minutes more than his season average of 20 minutes per game. Over the last 5 games, he is averaging 10.5 P+R. Once again, we are expecting a lot of put-backs from the offensive glass against the smaller Heat lineups.
We can also get there with this prop, just off Williams’ ability to hit the three. He is shooting 40.3% from behind the arc in April. The OddsTrader AI prediction model has this as a 4-star bet with a +33.8% EV in today’s basketball betting predictions.
- Bet On Grant Williams Over 8.5 Points + Rebounds at Bovada.Â
Heat Jaime Jaquez (Over 15.5 Points+Assists)
Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets– Tuesday, April 14 at 7:30 PM EST
Jaime Jaquez is another role player we expect to find success tonight. First of all, he averaged 15.4 PPG alone and scored over 23 points in 2 of his last 3 games. He is averaging 18.6 points over his last 10 outings, making this one of the stronger NBA player performance picks today. Then we consider the fact that he’s recorded 5 or more assists in 3 of his last 4 games. He averaged 4.7 APG this season.
In his last meeting against Charlotte, Jaquez put up 21 points and 4 assists. This is not a surprise since Charlotte ranks in the bottom 3rd of the league in points allowed to opposing small forwards. The OddsTrader AI prediction model has this prop at a 85% cover probability with a +33% EV.
- Bet On Jaime Jaquez Over 15.5 Points + Assists at Bovada.Â
Your NBA Player Prop Playbook
These NBA player prop picks highlight 3 role players who are primed to exceed expectations and make big impacts: Ryan Kalkbrenner and Grant Williams against the Miami Heat, and Jaime Jaquez against the Charlotte Hornets.
Of the three, Ryan Kalkbrenner feels like the strongest bet given his recent play in this matchup. Top Recommendation: Ryan Kalkbrenner Over 6.5 Points+Rebounds at Bovada. Timing is everything. Injury news, daily media, and late line shifts can all impact prop markets.
Lock in your plays early to secure the best number. Explore more NBA player props and find hidden value across every game.
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
