We have an exciting Thursday night NBA slate with many spots to target to make winning wagers. Using the OddsTrader BetStation app, we can find out in which games the OddsTrader algorithm has found the biggest edges.
The free OddsTrader BetStation app is designed to give us a baseline expectation of what’s most likely to happen, so we can find the games on the NBA odds board that have the highest potential profit margin, and hammer them with appropriately sized bets.
Those margins are still pretty small: Even a 5-star “deadbolt lock” is going to be a 60/40 flip at best. It’s anything but rare to end up 0-3 (or 3-0) when you make three NBA picks; more often, you’ll go 2-1 or 1-2. Let’s see which of these 3 advantage spots our money falls into tonight.
Picks Summary
- Knicks vs. Kings Over 239.5 (-110)
- Nets vs. Bucks Under 233.5 (-110)
- Grizzlies +2.5 (-110)
New York Knicks vs. Sacramento Kings
Thursday, March 09, 2023 – 10:00 PM EST at Golden 1 Center
The New York Knicks will look to get back on track tonight against one of the best teams in the league, the Sacramento Kings.
The Knicks recently had a nine-game winning streak snapped by the lowly Charlotte Hornets. The Kings have won six of their last seven games. Sacramento averages the most points per game in the NBA. The Kings average 121 points per game.
Why Did the Books Post This Total So Low?
The OddsTrader A.I. generated model has the Sacramento Kings defeating the New York Knicks 123-122. The Kings play at a high pace and are the highest-scoring team in the league.
You can bet a Kings under at your own peril. The computer has found a nice 5.5-point edge for us to bet.
NBA Pick: Over 239.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Brooklyn Nets vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Thursday, March 09, 2023 – 08:00 PM EST at Fiserv Forum
The Brooklyn Nets will be in Milwaukee to take on the first-place Bucks tonight. The Bucks are one of the best defenses in the league. The Bucks are fifth in the league in points against at 111.7 per game.
The Brooklyn Nets are on a three-game winning streak and they will look to continue that tonight. However, they face a tough task against a Milwaukee team that is first in the Eastern Conference with a 47-18 record. We can expect a tough, hard-fought game with plenty of intensity on the defensive end for both teams.
Why Is This Total So High?
Tonight’s total is set by the books at 233.5. Our OddsTrader A.I. prediction has the final score of this game at 118-109. Obviously, this projection does bode well for betting the over.
Our second computer pick has a 5.5-point edge. That is the type of edge we are looking for when running NBA models. The OddsTrader A.I. prediction has this game at 227 and the books are currently listing this total at 233.5.
NBA Pick: Under 233.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Thursday, March 09, 2023 – 07:30 PM EST at FedExForum
Two teams with championship aspirations will take the court in Memphis tonight when the Golden State Warriors face the Grizzlies. The teams are fighting for position in the Western Conference and we should expect a spirited affair as these teams try to move up the standings.
The Memphis Grizzlies are shrouded in controversy right now. Star point guard Ja Morant is not with the team after multiple allegations of conduct detrimental to the league, including brandishing a weapon on social media.
The Grizzlies also received bad news today when they found out that center Steven Adams might miss the rest of the regular season with an injury. Still, Memphis is a strong team and they have shown the ability to win even without their best players in the lineup.
Who Will Win This Pivotal Game?
Even though Memphis looks to be in a rough patch right now, the Warriors are one of the worst road teams in the league. The Golden State Warriors are 7-25 on the road straight up. I was surprised to see that the Warriors were road favorites with the woeful road record that they’ve displayed this season.
Our computer algorithm has projected the final score of this game to be 116-112 in favor of the Memphis Grizzlies. With the Grizzlies being 2.5 points underdogs, we have a 6.5-point edge on betting the Grizzlies to cover the spread.
Bet accordingly; the A.I. has spoken.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies +2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
