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Top 3 NBA Computer Picks for Friday: It’s a Good Day for Totals

Jaylen Brown Boston Celtics Chris Paul Phoenix Suns
Jaylen Brown 7 of the Boston Celtics attempts a shot against Chris Paul 3 and Deandre Ayton 22 of the Phoenix Suns Christian PetersenGetty ImagesAFP

We have an exciting Friday night NBA slate with plenty of opportunities to make winning wagers. Using the OddsTrader BetStation app, we can find out in which games the algorithm has found the biggest edges.

The free OddsTrader BetStation app is designed to give us a baseline expectation of what’s most likely to happen, so we can find the games on the NBA odds that have the highest potential profit margin, and hammer them with appropriately sized bets.

Those margins are still pretty small: Even a 5-star “deadbolt lock” is going to be a 60/40 flip at best. It’s anything but rare to end up 0-3 (or 3-0) when you make three NBA picks; more often, you’ll go 2-1 or 1-2. Let’s see which of these 3 advantage spots our money falls into tonight.


Charlotte Hornets vs. Detroit Pistons

Friday, February 3, 2023 – 07:00 PM EST at Little Caesars Arena



The Detroit Pistons should be rested for tonight’s contest, but not of their own accord. The Pistons team got stuck in Dallas due to issues with their plane and poor weather conditions. The Pistons are finally home and ready to take the court against the Charlotte Hornets tonight.

Which Team is Worse?

Both the Charlotte Hornets and the Detroit Pistons will be drafting at the top of the board at the end of the season. The Charlotte Hornets are 15-38; the Detroit Pistons are 13-39.

The Charlotte Hornets are 25th in the league in points scored at 112 per game. The Detroit Pistons are 22nd at 112.6 points per game. Yet tonight’s total is a gaudy 239.5.

The OddsTrader AI-generated model has the Detroit Pistons defeating the Charlotte Hornets 119-115. With the total set at 240, the computer has found a nice 6-point edge for us to bet.

NBA Pick: Under 240 (-110) at FanDuel


Portland Trail Blazers vs. Washington Wizards

Friday, February 3, 2023 – 07:00 PM EST at Capital One Arena



The Portland Trail Blazers come into tonight’s game on a roll when they take on the Washington Wizards. The Trail Blazers have won four of their last five games. Their most recent outing was a 122-112 win over the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night.

The Washington Wizards have a nice little streak of their own brewing. The Wizards have won 6 games in a row. When these two hot teams face off, we should be in for an excellent night of basketball.

Why Did the Books Post this Total So High?

The Portland Trail Blazers average 114.3 points per game, and the Washington Wizards average 113 points scored per game. However, tonight’s total is 236.5.

The total has gone Under in 13 of Portland’s last 20 games and in 8 of their last 8 games on the road. It also has gone Under in 4 of Washington’s last 6 games.

Our second AI pick has a 7-point edge. That is quite significant when running NBA models. The OddsTrader AI prediction has this game at 230 and the books are currently listing this total at 237.

NBA Pick: Under 237 (-110) at Bet365


Phoenix Suns vs. Boston Celtics

Friday, February 3, 2023 – 07:30 PM EST at TD Garden



The Phoenix Suns will be looking to bounce back after a 132-100 loss to the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday night. In the game, the Phoenix Suns were 4-28 from three-point range. The Suns will certainly shoot better than 14.3% from 3 tonight.

The Boston Celtics come into the game shooting just fine after making 26 3-pointers in their 43-point win over the Brooklyn Nets. The Celtics put up an impressive 139 points in the win. The Boston Celtics have the highest offensive rating in the NBA.

Will the Suns Shoot Better Tonight?

Coming off an awful shooting night, we can expect positive regression from the Phoenix Suns. The Suns will have an opportunity to improve on one of their most lackluster performances of the year.

They average 112.7 points per game and the Boston Celtics average 118.2 points per game. Yet tonight’s total is set at 220.5. Our computer algorithm has projected the final score of this game to be 117-107 in favor of the Phoenix Suns. That gives us a 4-point edge to the Over.

Bet accordingly at the best online sportsbooks; the AI has spoken.

NBA Pick: Over 220 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook


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