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Top NHL Computer Pick for Today’s Slate: Flames Starting to Lose Touch With Playoff Berth

Dan Vladar Calgary Flames vs Seattle Kraken
Dan Vladar 80 of the Calgary Flames reacts during the second period against the Seattle Kraken Steph ChambersGetty ImagesAFP

Using OddsTrader’s computer picks, we were able to place tonight’s best bet based on the information generated.

This app is freely available at your device’s app store. It will show you statistical comparisons of each matchup, information on past meetings, as well as spread movement, injury news, and even the weather forecast.

The Calgary Flames are heavy favorites tonight at -210 despite being on the road and going 4-6 in their previous 10 road games. Meanwhile, the home team Arizona has nothing to lose as the underdog and has gone 6-4 in their past 10 home games.

Pick Summary

  • Under 6 Goals (+100) at Bet365

Calgary Flames vs. Arizona Coyotes

Wednesday, February 22, 2023 – 09:30 PM EST at Mullett Arena



Game Preview

Calgary Flames

The Calgary Flames seem to have taken a back step in recent weeks as they now trail the Edmonton Oilers for the last playoff spot in the Pacific Division by 7 points (with one game in hand). The signing of Jonathan Huberdeau has all but been a disaster, as the 28-year-old banged in 115 points last season for the Florida Panthers, but this season has only had 38 in 54 games.

The Flames are middle-of-the-pack in terms of goals scored and goals allowed. They have the 9th best penalty kill but the 8th worst power play. At the end of the day, this team is bang average; they can turn it on when they feel like it, but in terms of making a playoff run, it’s not going to happen.

Arizona Coyotes

Arizona was one of the worst teams in the league at the start of the season, but they have started to look a little better in recent weeks, having scored a point in 9 of their last 10 games as they suffered four defeats after regulation time.

On home ice, they have proved to be somewhat solid with a 13-8-2 record compared to 7-20-7 on the road.

They have a bottom ten power play and a bottom ten penalty kill, as well as only averaging 2.67 goals per game and allowing 3.44 goals per game, plus they have allowed the second most shots against. In hindsight, it’s a wonder they have done so well on home ice given these atrocious stats.


Stats and Trends

Calgary Flames

  • The total has gone over in 4 of Calgary’s last 5 games
  • Calgary is 6-0 in their last 6 games against Arizona
  • Calgary is 3-6 in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Western Conference

Arizona Coyotes

  • The total has gone under in 13 of Arizona’s last 20 games
  • Arizona is 2-16 in their last 18 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division
  • The total has gone over in 6 of Arizona’s last 8 games when playing at home against Calgary

*when it comes to making your NHL picks. They are merely guidelines and mostly irrelevant information but nonetheless can be interesting to read and might steer you in the right direction.


Final Verdict

Our computer is predicting a 3-2 win for the Flames on the road here. For us, the best pick is to avoid the moneyline as we can’t trust this Calgary team, especially not at -210 betting odds and we don’t even trust them to cover the -1.5 PK line as they have the league’s worst ATS record sitting at 20-37 throughout the season.

Arizona can be dangerous on home ice, and they have been picking up some solid results lately. They also have the league’s 11th-best ATS record, which is impressive for a team ranked as poorly as themselves in almost all the major stats.

The Pick

It’s very rare we get a team at +1.5 at only -130 on home ice, so we believe the coyotes can cover the spread.

Out best pick in accordance with the computer’s final score prediction has got to be the under 6.5 goals at +100 with Ber365.

Arizona is 14-9 to the under 6.5 goals on home ice, while Calgary is 19-10 on the road.

Final Score Prediction: Calgary Flames 3 – Arizona Coyotes 2

NHL Pick: Under 6 (+100) at Bet365


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