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Top NHL Computer Pick for Today’s Slate: Oilers Have Dominated Tonight’s Opponents on Home Ice Recently

Leon Draisaitl Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers
Leon Draisaitl 29 and Connor McDavid 97 of the Edmonton Oilers talk against the Vegas Golden Knights Ethan MillerGetty ImagesAFP

NHL Top Pick for Today

Coyotes vs. Oilers: Oilers -2 (-120) at Bet365


Using OddsTrader’s computer picks, we placed tonight’s best bet based on the information generated.

We have just two games on today’s NHL slate, this made it relatively easy to choose our favorite pick based on our computer’s predictions today.

Targeting the matchup between Edmonton and Arizona, we believe the home team can win this one by 3+ goals. Check out why we believe the Oilers won’t be beaten tonight.


Arizona Coyotes vs. Edmonton Oilers

Wednesday, March 22, 2023 – 10:30 PM EDT at Rogers Place



Arizona Can’t Win on the Road

Although the Arizona Coyotes have won six of their previous eight games, the majority of those victories were on home ice as Arizona has a 20-11-3 record at home whilst having one of the league’s worst away records standing at 7-22-8.

Amazingly, the Coyotes are just 1-19 in their previous 20 road games, losing six of those in overtime. On top of their away struggles, they have been incredibly bad in their previous three trips to Edmonton, losing by an aggregate score of 21-6 in just three games.

The Coyotes won’t be making the playoffs this year as they are 18 points nearest to the closest playoff spot. It’s not ideal that they are coming into tonight’s game having had one day less of rest than their opponents.

Draisaitl and McDavid Leading the Charge

As we know, the Edmonton Oilers boast two of the best forwards in the world in Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid. These two stars are the leagues two top points scorers combing for 242 points so far this season and making the Oilers the top goalscorers in the league averaging 3.9 goals per game.

On home ice, Edmonton has been very hot lately, going 11-4 over their previous 15 games as well as picking up a point in 14 of those 15 games as three losses were after regulation.

The Oilers are still hot on the heels of some of the Western Conference leaders. With the season closing to a finish, the Oilers could make an unlikely push to win the Conference as they now trail first-placed Vegas by just three wins and still have to play them two more times.

Edmonton also gets to play two more games against the San Jose Sharks and Anaheim Ducks, two of the worst teams in the league right now. They should be able to win 3 of those 4 games easily if not arguably all 4.


Stats and Trends

Arizona Coyotes

  • The total has gone over in 4 of Arizona’s last 6 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division
  • Arizona is 1-19 in their last 20 games on the road
  • Arizona is 1-6 in their last 7 games against Edmonton

Edmonton Oilers

  • The total has gone over in 6 of Edmonton’s last 7 games against an opponent in the Western Conference
  • Edmonton is 5-0 in their last 5 games at home
  • Edmonton is 6-1 in their last 7 games

The Pick

Edmonton is on a roll right now, winning 9 of their previous 15 home games by at least two goals, and as we said, they have scored a point in at least 14 of their previous 15.

Our computer believes the Oilers should easily win this one by five goals to two, and to be honest it’s hard to disagree with that. Taking the over/under total was not in our thinking here as we don’t know if we can trust the Coyotes to put up many goals, and the Oilers should get five but maybe they get four.

At the very least we see Edmonton winning by two goals. For this reason, we are laying the -120 on Edmonton to win by 3+ goals on the -2 PK line. A two-goal victory will result in a push; at the very least we should get a push here.

Final Score Prediction: Arizona Coyotes 2 – Edmonton Oilers 5

NHL Pick: Oilers -2 (-120) at Bet365


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