We’ve got three exciting NBA Playoffs matchups on the slate tonight! I asked the AI Model for its best bet for each game.
We’ve highlighted three of the best player props on the board — and we’ve laid them out below. Let’s break down the odds from top-rated sportsbooks to help you cash in.
The Picks
- Myles Turner Under 1.5 Assists (-135) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Santi Aldama Under 5.5 Rebounds (+106) at Bet365
- Luka Doncic Under 8.5 Rebounds (+100) at Bet365
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers
Tuesday, April 22, 2025 – 07:00 PM EDT at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
The AI Model believes Myles Turner will finish with only .872 assists against the Bucks. That said, his total is currently at 1.5, with the under at only -135. The value is all over this bet.
Turner Doesn’t Share The Ball Much!
Myles Turner had two assists in Game 1 against the Bucks. However, he’s only added at least two assists in three of his last 10 games.
In addition, he’s recorded at least two assists in only 40% of his last 20 games and will battle a Bucks defense that already ranks 8th in the NBA in assists allowed to centers.
The Bucks gave up two assists to Turner in Game 1. Therefore, it’s very likely the Bucks will shut down Turner from getting another two or more assists in this game.
Milwaukee is one of the best defenses against centers in regards to assists. That said, Turner has nailed at least two assists in four straight games against the Bucks. But you’d have to imagine the Bucks will adjust and take away the potential assists from Turner more often moving forward.
Plus, Turner had six potential assists in Game 1, when he’s averaged below 2.5 potential assists per game over the last ten games. He needed all six potential assists to land two assists. But if he only gets two potential assists this time around, it’ll be hard for him to actually earn two or more assists.
I’m taking the Under for Turner’s assists. The Bucks are too good on defense in this area to allow Turner to continue to put up these numbers.
NBA Pick: Myles Turner Under 1.5 Assists (-135) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Tuesday, April 22, 2025 – 07:30 PM EDT at Paycom Center
Our AI Model suggests Santi Aldama will finish tonight’s game with only 4.461 rebounds. Meanwhile, his rebounds prop is at 5.5 with the under at +106. That’s a bet you’ll really want to consider!
Aldama Might Not Even Play 20 Minutes!
The Memphis Grizzlies were blown out in Game 1 against the Thunder, and most of their players didn’t earn many minutes.
Santi Aldama played only 19.4 minutes and added just four rebounds for the Grizzlies in Game 1. He’s also recorded no more than four rebounds in five of his last six games.
Ultimately, Aldama has had success on the glass throughout the season. He’s just missed this line in 35% of his last 20 games. He’s gotten worse on the glass over time.
In Game 1, Aldama had only six rebound chances against the Thunder. He’d have to be perfect if that same scenario happened again.
Let’s back the Under for Aldama’s rebounds at +106. There’s tons of value there.
NBA Pick: Santi Aldama Under 5.5 Rebounds (+106) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Tuesday, April 22, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT at Crypto.com Arena
Our AI Model thinks Luka Doncic will add 7.342 rebounds against the Timberwolves tonight. Yet, his prop is currently at 8.5, with the Under at +100. This is one of the best plays you’ll find on the board tonight.
Luka Doncic Isn’t The Same!
Luka Doncic was traded from the Mavericks to the Lakers and hasn’t been the same since.
Doncic can still put up points like it’s nothing. However, he’s not filling up the boxscore anymore. The ball isn’t always in his hands, and he’s not even the most notable player on his own team.
Ultimately, Doncic has added at least nine rebounds in none of his last nine games. He’s had eight in each of his previous three games, including in Game 1 against the Timberwolves on Saturday.
Additionally, Doncic has added at least nine rebounds in just 37% of games this season. However, in the last 20 games, he’s hit this line in just 25% of games. His numbers haven’t been nearly as good since joining the Lakers.
Let’s take Doncic to go Under 8.5 rebounds tonight.
NBA Pick: Luka Doncic Under 8.5 Rebounds (+100) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
