The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves will look to earn a second-round berth in tonight’s two NBA Playoff games. I’ve got the best bet in each game featured on TNT.
Check it out below before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Moses Moody Over 5.5 Points (+100)
- Luka Doncic Under 8.5 Rebounds (+100)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 – 07:30 PM EDT at Toyota Center
The AI Model thinks Moses Moody will score 7.6 points tonight. However, his points total is set at 5.5, with the Over at +100. Moody to score at least six points is on the AI Model’s radar.
The Warriors Are Using Moses Moody!
Moses Moody played just 11.7 minutes in Game 4 for the Warriors. That was the lowest amount of time he’s played for the Warriors over the last ten games. Other guys were feeling it, so Moody sat for a larger portion of the game. However, Steve Kerr has proven time and time again that he’ll always stick with the hot and performing player.
It wasn’t Moody’s night in Game 4, but it was in Game 2, when Moody scored 12 points in 27.9 minutes of game action. That said, Moody should be involved in the offense when he’s out on the court. He had a usage percentage of 23.8% with the Warriors despite playing about 12 minutes in Game 4. He took six shots and only made one, which is why he was on the bench. But that’s unlike Moody.
He has shot at least 50% from the floor in three of his last six games. He’s also nailed at least one three in five of his last six games. Beyond that, Moody has taken at more than four threes per game during the previous ten games.
If he’s able to drain two threes tonight, he’ll already have six points and beat his prop line.
The Pick
The Rockets have a very good defense, especially against shooting guards. But if Moody gets hot early, he’ll play 25+ minutes and take enough shots to score at least six points.
We’re talking just two threes with a guy that typically attempts more than four threes per game. Let’s back the Over.
NBA Pick: Moses Moody Over 5.5 Points (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT at Crypto.com Arena
Our AI Model believes Luka Doncic will earn only 7.434 rebounds against the Timberwolves. The Lakers’ guard has a rebound prop at 8.5, with the under at +100. That’s one of the best plays you’ll find tonight.
Luka Doncic Added One Rebound Last Game!
Luka Doncic has recorded at least nine rebounds in only one of his last ten games. As a matter of fact, he totaled just one rebound in 46 minutes for the Lakers in their Game 4 loss to the Timberwolves. He had just five rebound chances, which was the lowest he’s had in the last ten games. Meanwhile, he played the most minutes he has in the previous ten games.
Ultimately, Doncic was out there for the entire second half and barely got a break. He’s so out of shape that he wasn’t able to fill up the box score. His shot was looking good, but he wasted all his energy on offense and gave nothing to the Lakers on defense.
The Lakers traded for Doncic, hoping to acquire a superstar. They got a really offensively gifted talent. But as the Mavericks explained, Doncic is out of shape. He’s not hustling on defense and rarely goes to the glass now.
The Lakers made a mistake keeping Doncic in the game for so long, and the result was that Doncic did nothing but shoot the ball in the entire game.
The Pick
I’d back the Under for Luka Doncic at +100.
NBA Pick: Luka Doncic Under 8.5 Rebounds (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
