Upon reviewing the NFL odds for Sunday night, we see that the Houston Texans will invade Arrowhead as underdogs when they suit up against the Kansas City Chiefs. After researching this pivotal AFC showdown, our Sunday Night Football bets are locking in on what we perceive as the sharp side and a solid player prop wager.
Houston enters as the hot team looking to seize control of the AFC South, while the Chiefs are in the unusual position of simply trying to stay alive in the postseason conversation. This is one of the marquee matchups of the weekend, and the scheduling gods have saved the best for last on Sunday night!
Best Bets for Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Tonight’s NFL odds reveal the Chiefs as the betting favorite in this one, as they possess the home-field advantage and have been the perennial powerhouses in the AFC since Patrick Mahomes arrived in Kansas City several years ago.
The Texans are hitting their stride at the right time, knocking off their last four opponents, including three divisional rivals, and covering in three of those four contests. Houston is also coming off its biggest win to date when they defeated the Colts, 201-6, in their latest outing.
Conversely, the Chiefs have been stumbling down the stretch, dropping three of their last four contests, including a 31-28 loss at home to the Cowboys as 3 ½ point home favorites last week. Let’s check out how these two AFC powers stack up as we wrap up Week 14 in the National Football League.
Sunday Night Odds (Chiefs +3.5)
The oddsmakers initially installed the Chiefs as 4½ point home favorites, but the sharps took a big bite out of that line to where the NFL odds sit at -3 to -3½ at all of the best online sportsbooks.
It is not all that surprising because the opening line was designed to consider the swell of public money from the squares who haven’t quite wrapped their minds around the fact that Kansas City is merely a 6-6 club and not the powerhouse of the previous several years.
Sunday Night Picks (Texans +3.5)
BMR’s algorithm gaming model projects a 22-20 Kansas City victory, and although that would mean a cover for those backing Houston as 3½ point road underdogs, I’m not sure that the Chiefs will win this game. Remember, this is not only a must-win game for Kansas City, but it’s also critically important to the white-hot Texans.
Although the public refuses to believe the Chiefs are simply a middling team this year, their record doesn’t lie, and at 6-6, KC could be on the outside looking in when the postseason parade begins to march. It’s no wonder that the Chiefs are 5-7 against the number, and quite honestly, I’m surprised it’s that good.
OddsTrader’s picks page is always a good starting point, but this Houston Texans team has a ferocious defense that will cover Mahomes’ targets and get after him in the backfield. And while it is true that the Chiefs have defeated the Texans in their last five meetings, covering in three of those contests, this season is markedly different.
The Chiefs’ defense is good, while the Texans’ offense is somewhat pedestrian; however, when we flip that script, we find that Houston’s defense is not just good but elite. Consider that Houston ranks:
- No. 1 in total yards allowed (265.7)
- No. 5 in yards per play allowed (4.9)
- No. 4 in rushing yards allowed (91.7)
- No. 4 in passing yards allowed (174.0)
- No. 1 in opponents’ QB rating (71.3)
- No. 6 in sacks (2.8)
- No. 1 in points allowed (16.5)
Look, we’ve seen Patrick Mahomes perform miracles, but the Texans have enough of an offensive punch to take advantage of any generous field position that their defense provides. I like the Texans to win, but I’ll grab the 3½ points that some of the books are still offering, like BetMGM.
Expert Pick: Texans +3.5 (-118) at BetMGM
Chiefs’ Kareem Hunt (Under 36.5 Rushing Yards)
Kareem Hunt is the Chiefs’ backfield workhorse, but he’s got company with Isiah Pacheco. The Chiefs’ offense lives and breathes through the air; therefore, Hunt will likely have fewer than his usual 11 carries, which has produced an average of 42.9 rushing yards per game.
Let’s go under the posted total on Hunt’s rushing yards.
Expert Pick: Kareem Hunt Under 36.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Caesars
Make Your SNF Football Bets Now
Getting in the game with an opinion that makes you cash is what it’s all about. The only way to do that is to open an account at one or more of the most trustworthy, reliable, and reputable sportsbooks in the industry, like the several online sportsbooks featured at OddsTrader.
Remember, the lines and odds don’t stay stagnant. They move, so why not review our Sunday night football bets on the Texans and the player prop when the getting is good? Lock in on a line at one of America’s best sportsbooks like Caesars and BetMGM, and you’ll never have to worry that you missed out on value.
Include OddsTrader Turbo as One of Your Betting Tools
Stop guessing and start winning with OddsTrader Turbo. This is like having a personal assistant, available 24/7, for just a few dollars per month. Harness the power of artificial intelligence and let OddsTrader Turbo do all the heavy lifting as a bet analyzer tailored to your needs.
Below are just a few features:
- 5-star picks with a 73% accuracy rating
- Exclusive BetStation chatbot for expert advice, betting tips, and AI-powered insight
- Sportsbook syncing to keep track of all your bets across all your sportsbook accounts in one place
- Game alerts
- Real-time line movement updates
- 5 Star AI picks
Start a free 30-day trial and ask BetStation questions regarding the games mentioned above. It’s all right here at OddsTrader. If you try it once, you’ll never gamble again without it!
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-GAMBLER
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.