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Celtics vs. Cavaliers Game 3 NBA Computer Pick: Don’t Expect a Shootout in Cleveland

Caris LeVert Cleveland Cavaliers Eastern Conference Second Round Playoffs Massachusetts
Caris LeVert #3 of the Cleveland Cavaliers shoots the ball against Derrick White #9 of the Boston Celtics during the first half in Game Two of the Eastern Conference Second Round Playoffs at TD Garden on May 09, 2024 in Boston, Massachusetts. Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP

The matchups in the second round of the NBA playoffs have been super exciting! While some results have been surprising thus far, the AI Model has been on top of it all. Before heading to our top-rated sportsbooks, here’s another play to consider from the AI Model for the second round of the playoffs.

For more of our betting analysis, check out:

NBA Pick


Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

Saturday, May 11, 2024 – 08:30 PM ET at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse


The Cavaliers surprised the Celtics with a huge 24-point win in Game 2. With the series tied, the Cavaliers have the advantage, heading home for Game 3. Boston’s adjustments will likely start on the defensive end, according to our AI Model. The projected score is 109-103, Boston, meaning the total would go Under 212.5.

Boston Won’t Be Lackluster In Game 3

The last time Boston was as bad defensively as in Game 2, you’d have to go back to April 11 against the Knicks, when New York scored 124.2 points per 100 possessions.

In Game 2, the Cavaliers added 134.5 points per 100 possessions and shot a 65.2% effective field goal percentage. These numbers are super rare against Boston’s defense. It’s more of an effort thing defensively more than anything. That will surely be adjusted for Game 3.

Cleveland’s Not This Good Offensively

Let’s take it in the other direction. The last time the Cavaliers scored 134.5 points per 100 possessions was back on February 5, when they scored a 70.6% effective field goal percentage against the Kings in a 136-110 blowout win.

Cleveland played lights out in Game 2. And that game will stick out like a sore thumb.

The Pick

Based on our NBA odds, we’re about to get much more defense from both teams heading into a competitive and compelling Game 3.

NBA Pick: Under 212.5 (-110) at Bet365

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

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