Top Picks for Thursday
- Duncan Robinson Over 1.5 Three-Point Field Goals Made (-145) at BetMGM
- Max Strus Over 9.5 Points (-117) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Nikola Jokic Triple-Double Yes (+105) at BetMGM
The Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets begin the NBA Finals tonight. Denver will host the game and has home-court advantage for this series.
Let’s find the very best player props for you to make winning NBA picks.
Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets
Thursday, June 01, 2023 – 08:30 PM EDT at Ball Arena
Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat)
Duncan Robinson has shown that he is still one of the best shooters in the league.
Robinson failed to get playing time during the regular season. He had many DNPs and was thought to be trade bait for this off-season. An injury to Tyler Herro gave Robinson the opportunity for more playing time, and he has shown that he can still knock down shots from behind the arc.
The Pick
Right after shooting 37.1% from the field during the regular season, Robinson is up to 46.9% from the field during the postseason. Robinson has gone over tonight’s 3-point field goals made in five of his last six games. This postseason, Robinson is shooting 44.6% from three-point range.
Robinson is not scared to pull the trigger on an open three-point shot. The Nuggets have a high-powered offense, and the Heat will need Robinson in order to match their offensive output.
Regardless of his defensive deficiencies, Robinson will see plenty of time on the floor, which means he will have an opportunity to hoist plenty of three-point shots. Robinson will continue his hot shooting and go over his prop total tonight.
NBA Prop Pick: Duncan Robinson Over 1.5 Three-Point Field Goals Made (-145) at BetMGM
Max Strus (Miami Heat)
The Heat has been getting consistent production from role players during their improbable playoff run. Max Strus is one of those players.
As well as providing solid defense every night, Strus has been doing his part on the offensive end. Because he is not very popular, like the stars of the series, the sportsbooks have been slow to adjust his price for his point prop.
The Pick
Max Strus has gone over tonight’s listed point prop total in nine of his last 12 games. Strus averaged 11.5 points per game during the regular season and 10.3 points per game during the postseason. His field goal percentage has increased from 41% in the regular season to 45.2% during the postseason.
Strus has been effective from the field and he is one of the key pieces in the Miami Heat’s run this postseason. We will continue to take advantage of mispriced lines on unheralded players such as Max Strus. Strus will go over his point prop tonight.
NBA Prop Pick: Max Strus Over 9.5 Points (-117) at Caesars Sportsbook
Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets)
Nicola Jokic is having one of the best statistical postseasons since Wilt Chamberlain played in the NBA, proving that he is the best player in the game.
Jokic was the first player with 40 points, 25 rebounds, and 10 assists in a playoff game since Chamberlain did it four times in the 60s, as well as NBA legend Elgin Baylor, who performed this feat in 1961. Jokic is putting up statistics that are historically great.
The Pick
Nikola Jokic is averaging a Triple-Double this postseason. Jokic is averaging 29.9 points per game, 13.3 rebounds per game, and 10.3 assists per game. Jokic has a great advantage facing Bam Adebayo, a player he has shot 60% from the field against in his career.
Jokic will continue to dominate and get the Nuggets off to a great start in Game 1. Our third player prop for the evening is Nikola Jokic Triple-Double Yes.
NBA Prop Pick: Nikola Jokic Triple-Double Yes (+105) at BetMGM
