NBA Prop Pick: Nikola Jokic Triple-Double Yes (+108) at Caesars Sportsbook
Top Picks for Monday
- Nikola Jokic Triple-Double Yes (+108) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Bam Adebayo Over 20.5 Points (+100) at BetMGM
- Jamal Murray Over 8.5 Assists (-109) at BetRivers
The Denver Nuggets have a chance to become the NBA champions Monday night. The Nuggets have a 3-1 series lead against the Miami Heat and host the game. Denver has been fantastic at home. Will Denver finish the job tonight?
As Denver attempts to win their first championship in franchise history we have found the best NBA player props to make winning NBA picks.
Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets
Monday, June 12, 2023 – 08:30 PM EDT at Ball Arena
Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets)
Nikola Jokic having a historic Finals series. Jokic is averaging 33.3 points 14 rebounds, and 9.3 assists. He is shooting 65% from the field. He is an impressive 44.4% from three-point range and 85.7% from the free throw line. He was the first player in NBA Finals history with a 30/20/10 game. We can expect a strong performance from Nikola Jokic tonight as Denver attempts to hoist the trophy.
The Pick
When making this pick, we are essentially betting on the assists. Nikola Jokic has gone Over double digits in points and rebounds in every game this series. He has two triple-doubles in the four games so far. I
n each game in which he did not clear a triple-double, he fell short on assists. However, with Denver in a firm position to end the series, I think that we will see the best from the Nuggets role players and that will lead to plenty of assists for Jokic. Jokic will record his third triple-double of the series and the Nuggets will win the championship tomorrow.
Our first bet for the evening is Nikola Jokic Triple-Double Yes.
NBA Prop Pick: Nikola Jokic Triple-Double Yes (+108) at Caesars Sportsbook
Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat)
Tomorrow’s game is an elimination game and all hands will be on deck for the Miami Heat. That means even more minutes for star players such as Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. The Miami Heat have shown all season that you cannot count them out, no matter the circumstances. This team has fought and put in a great effort throughout the playoffs. If Denver is to get the win tonight, it will not come easy.
The Pick
Bam Adebayo has gone Over this point total in three of his last four games. Over that time period, he is averaging 22.3 points per game. Adebayo has scored over 20 points in every game so far in the series. The Denver Nuggets seemed content to let Adebayo be the primary shooter on the offense.
Adebayo is averaging 19.5 field goal attempts per game during the NBA Finals. When betting props, we are attacking usage and Adebayo has had plenty of shot opportunities. I expect Adebayo to continue to get plenty of shots and for those shots to fall. Bam Adebayo will go Over his point prop again.
NBA Prop Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 20.5 Points (+100) at BetMGM
Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets)
In Game 3, Jamal Murray had 34 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists. He was 12-22 from the field and was 3-6 from three-point range. Murray played 44 minutes and was plus 14 in the box score. Murray followed that up in Game 4 with a 15-point, 12-assist performance.
Murray was lackluster from the field, only shooting 29.4%, but he was still able to be effective on offense by finding open teammates. Murray’s increased passing acumen and ability have been a boon for the Nuggets this season.
The Pick
Jamal Murray is averaging 10.5 assists per game during the NBA Finals. He has gone over 10 assists in every single game played. With Miami being aggressive on defense, this gives Murray opportunities in the passing lanes to find open teammates. Murray’s always been known as a sharpshooter, but his passing ability has been underrated due to the fact that he is usually given open shots.
Miami’s ability to deny Murray clean looks has led to the emergence of Murray’s passing strengths. Murray will find open teammates tonight and go Over his assist prop.
NBA Prop Pick: Jamal Murray Over 8.5 Assists (-109) at BetRivers
