Typically, Mondays are major getaway days. However, since the All-Star break was last week, there are 15 games on tonight’s MLB slate.
I reviewed each game and identified the best computer picks from three of them using the AI Model. Check them out below before checking out our top-rated sportsbooks.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Seattle Mariners
Monday, July 21, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park
The AI Model thinks Brandon Woodruff will give up only 3.636 hits in tonight’s ball game. The Brewers’ ace currently has a line at 4.5, with the under at only -150. That’s a very valuable play.
Brandon Woodruff Looks Elite!
We had waited a long time to see Woodruff on the mound. However, he’s thrown against 38 batters so far this season and has struck out over 47% of them. He’s also allowed a .259 wOBA against his last 38 batters and has earned 26% of whiffs with 12.6% of swinging strikes.
He’ll battle a Mariners lineup that has hit a .195 ISO over the last month. This team also has five batters who have struck out at least 22.7% of the time against righties during the previous 30 days.
Even if Woodruff gets into some trouble, he’ll likely be able to get out of it with high strikes, especially since the majority of the team is striking out at a high rate.
The Pick
Look for the Milwaukee ace to have another outstanding game. Let’s take Woodruff to allow below 4.5 hits (-150) against the Mariners on the road.
Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, July 21, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
Our AI Model suggests Alek Thomas will earn .472 hits tonight for the Diamondbacks. However, his hits line is at .5, with the under at +125. We love a good plus-money value play!
Look at Alek Thomas’ luck!
The Arizona center fielder has hit a .222 ISO and wOBA of .320 with only 14.3% of strikeouts against lefties over the last 30 days. However, the lefty himself has hit:
- 64.7% of ground balls
- 11.8% of fly balls
- 17.6% of line drives
His ISO and wOBA numbers look good, but he’s hit below 30% of hard contact and a 5.9% barrel percentage against lefties in the last 30 days. Those ISO and wOBA numbers will shrink against lefties if he continues to put up those numbers.
The Pick
Alek Thomas is most likely to record fewer than 0.5 hits in tonight’s game, and priced around +125 odds, this looks like a computer pick filled with value.
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Monday, July 21, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
Our AI Model predicts Mookie Betts will add .729 total bases. However, his line is still at 1.5, with the under at only -135. It’s a good time to fade Mookie Betts.
Same Old Mookie!
Mookie Betts has hit a .050 ISO and wOBA of .171 against his last 63 righties.
The former All-Star slugger has been super impatient at the plate and has hit 14.3% of line drives as a result. He’s also added a .204 BABIP against righties over the last 30 days and a 4.1% barrel percentage.
Meanwhile, he’ll battle David Festa of the Twins.
Festa has allowed a .171 ISO and wOBA of .354 against his last 46 righties. However, he’s also induced close to 49% of ground balls and has allowed only 14.3% of fly balls against righties in the last 30 days.
Festa has done well against righties. The numbers will prove it as he gets more reps against other right-handed hitters. So consider our computer pick and trust Betts to add below 1.5 total bases tonight.
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
