While there are many day games today, there are still some exciting matchups tonight. I’ve added three best bets using the AI Model for tonight’s slate and wrote about them below.
Let’s give them a closer look before heading to our top-rated sportsbooks. And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice.
Picks Summary
- Jack Leiter Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Sean Burke Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-115) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Patrick Bailey Under 1.5 Total Bases (-150) at Caesars Sportsbook
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins
Wednesday, June 11, 2025 – 07:40 PM EDT at Target Field
Our AI Model likes Jack Leiter to add 3.813 strikeouts tonight. However, his strikeout number is set at 4.5, with the Under at -115. There’s value on Leiter’s under tonight.
Where Are The Targets?
The Rangers will give Jack Leiter the ball tonight. He’s a right-handed pitcher who has struck out below 20% of batters this season. His rate has increased against lefties, but has decreased against righties over the last month.
That said, the Twins’ projected lineup has struck out just 17.8% of the time. Only Willi Castro has struck out more than 21.1% of the time against righties over the last month in the lineup.
The Twins have also hit a .196 ISO and wOBA of .357 against righties using this lineup over the last month. I wouldn’t expect Leiter to pitch very long against this lineup. He’s still allowing a high amount of fly balls and doesn’t induce many grounders. Beyond that, he’s also walked more than 11% of batters over the last month. That’ll add some pressure on his shoulders.
The Pick
I’ll take Leiter to earn below 4.5 strikeouts tonight.
MLB Pick: Jack Leiter Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
Wednesday, June 11, 2025 – 08:10 PM EDT at Daikin Park
The AI Model believes Sean Burke will give up 4.285 hits on the mound tonight for the White Sox. However, his consensus line is at 5.5, with the Under at -115. The Under has value tonight.
Don’t Sleep On Sean Burke!
The White Sox will send out Sean Burke tonight. The right-handed pitcher has limited his last 100 batters to a .135 ISO and wOBA of .312. He’s also allowed just 34.8% of hard contact and has raised his strikeout rate over the last 30 days.
Burke will face an Astros projected lineup that has added a .121 ISO and wOBA of .301 against righties over the last month. The same lineup has struck out more than 21% of the time and has walked only 6.4% of the time.
Only Isaac Paredes has hit an ISO of greater than .155 over the last 30 days against righties. Burke has legitimate potential to go deep in this game for the White Sox.
The Pick
Grab Burke to allow below 5.5 hits tonight.
MLB Pick: Sean Burke Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-115) at Bet365
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies
Wednesday, June 11, 2025 – 08:40 PM EDT at Coors Field
Our AI Model predicts Patrick Bailey will earn .324 total bases for the Giants tonight. However, his prop is at 1.5 with the Under at only -150. There’s a strong play for Bailey to go Under tonight.
Being a Switch-Hitter Doesn’t Matter!
The San Francisco Giants will battle Kyle Freeland in tonight’s game against the Colorado Rockies. Freeland is a left-handed pitcher who has limited 302 batters to a .148 ISO and wOBA of .355 over the last month.
These aren’t poor numbers, especially when half of your games are at Coors Field. He’s also kept right-handed batters to 44.2% of ground balls and only 18.9% of fly balls.
Meanwhile, he’ll battle Patrick Bailey, who is a switch-hitter. Bailey will bat from the right side, but he’s hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .165 with 40% of strikeouts against lefties over the last month. Bailey has hit 12.5% of line drives and a 0% barrel percentage, which has netted him a .250 BABIP.
The Pick
Fade Bailey tonight and take his under 1.5 total bases prop
MLB Pick: Patrick Bailey Under 1.5 Total Bases (-150) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
