
The AI Model continues to produce winners! Therefore, I added three more bets for the MLB using our AI Model and shared them below for you to cash at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary:
- Pavin Smith Under .5 Total Bases (+125)
- Casey Schmitt Under .5 Hits (+100)
- Cal Raleigh Over .5 Total Bases (-140)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Friday, June 13, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
Our AI Model thinks Pavin Smith will add .239 total bases tonight for the Diamondbacks. However, his prop line is at .5, with the Under at +125. There’s value in fading Smith tonight.
Pavin Smith Has Inconsistent Power!
The Diamondbacks have a lot of power in their lineup. However, Smith is one of the few with inconsistent power. He’s only added a .145 ISO over the last 30 days against righties. He’s also struck out nearly 26% of the time against righties over the previous month.
He’ll face Stephen Kolek, who has struggled against lefties over the same time period. However, Kolek has still held his first 86 lefties to a .141 ISO and has induced nearly 52% of ground balls with only 24.1% of fly balls. If he keeps that up, lefties won’t have almost as much success as they’ve had over the last month or so.
The Pick
Consider backing Smith to add below .5 total bases. He’s not showing consistent power and has struck out more once every four opportunities against righties.
MLB Pick: Pavin Smith Under .5 Total Bases (+125) at Bet365
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Friday, June 13, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
The AI Model believes Casey Schmitt will add .395 total hits tonight. However, his prop is at .5, with the Under at +100. This is a 17.2% expected value play. You’ll want to consider this prop bet.
Good Luck Hitting Yamamoto!
The Los Angeles Dodgers are set to throw Yoshinobu Yamamoto tonight. The Japanese right-hander has struck out 28.4% of batters over the last 30 days and has limited them to a .078 ISO and wOBA of .245.
He’s in the running for the NL Cy Young. Therefore, it’s unlikely Casey Schmitt will have any answers at the plate tonight. He has hit a .136 ISO and wOBA of .247 with 29.6% of strikeouts against his last 27 righties. He’s also hit grounders more than 53% of the time and has added 13.3% of fly balls. That’s amounted to a .143 BABIP, which is absolutely dreadful.
Yamamoto has allowed a high number of walks to righties over the last 30 days. But a walk doesn’t count as a hit. So that’s fine if Schmitt is patient and walks against Yammamto.
The Pick
Take Schmitt to add Under .5 hits tonight.
MLB Pick: Casey Schmitt Under .5 Hits (+100) at Bet365
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners
Friday, June 13, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park
Our AI Model predicts Cal Raleigh will earn 1.131 total bases. However, Bet365 is carrying his Over .5 total bases at -140. Raleigh has been one of the most potent hitters in the game this year. We’ll want to ride this bet.
What Can’t Raleigh Do?
Cal Raleigh has hit a .439 ISO and wOBA of .434 against his last 76 righties. He’s got a high strikeout rate of nearly 28%, but he’s still hit 45.7% of fly balls with only 19.6% of ground balls. When he connects, good things happen.
He’ll battle Gavin Williams of the Guardians, who has already walked 15.9% of lefties this season. If Williams falls behind on Raleigh, there’s a good chance Raleigh will see some good pitches to hit ahead of the court. In addition, Williams has allowed a .226 ISO and 38.1% of fly balls to his last 40 lefties. Raleigh can surely take advantage. He’s become one of the best power hitters in the game this year.
The Pick
Grab Cal Raleigh to add at least one total base at -140.
MLB Pick: Cal Raleigh Over .5 Total Bases (-140) at Bet365
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