We’ve got a full slate of games in the MLB today, with most matchups still scheduled for tonight, despite it being Wednesday. I used the AI Model to find the three best bets for tonight’s MLB slate.
Take a look below before heading to our top-rated sportsbooks!
Picks Summary:
- Jung Ho Lee Under .5 Singles (+125)
- Framber Valdez Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (+105)
- Michael Conforto Under .5 Hits (+115)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Cleveland Guardians vs. San Francisco Giants
Wednesday, June 18, 2025 – 09:45 PM EDT at Oracle Park
Our AI Model thinks Jung Ho Lee will add .475 total bases tonight. However, his singles prop is at .5, with the Under at +125. There’s certainly some value in fading Lee tonight.
Jung Ho Lee Has Been Lucky!
The Giants will take on Logan Allen of the Guardians tonight. Allen is a left-handed pitcher who has actually struggled more against lefties over the last 30 days. He’s given up a .600 ISO and wOBA of .465 to his previous 13 lefties. However, he’s also induced 66.7% of ground balls and has allowed only 11.1% of line drives against those last 13 lefties.
Meanwhile, Jung Ho Lee should lead off for the Giants. He’s hit a .222 ISO and wOBA of .354 against lefties over the last 30 days. However, he’s also struck out 27.3% of the time against lefties over the previous month and has hit 58.3% of ground balls with only 8.3% of line drives.
He hasn’t had good contact against lefties but has earned a .333 BABIP. It’s unlikely that it’ll continue. Ultimately, Allen has been unlucky against lefties, and Jung Ho Lee has been lucky against lefties. It’ll all turn around in this game.
The Pick
Take Jung Ho Lee to add under .5 singles in tonight’s ball game.
MLB Pick: Jung Ho Lee Under .5 Singles (+125) at Caesars Sportsbook
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
Wednesday, June 18, 2025 – 10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
The AI Model believes Framber Valdez will give up only 4.847 hits in tonight’s game for the Astros. However, his prop is at 5.5, with the Under at +105. Valdez is expected to have a quality game!
There’s Nobody More Consistent Than Framber!
Framber Valdez will take the mound for the Astros tonight. He’s a left-handed pitcher who has limited his last 106 batters to a .104 ISO and wOBA of .252. Ultimately, he’s induced more than 66% of ground balls and has allowed only 13.6% of fly balls over the last 30 days.
That said, he’ll battle an Athletics lineup that has hit just a .104 ISO and wOBA of .323. The Athletics have gone cold against lefties and have also struck out nearly 22% of the time.
Valdez can do no wrong, and the Athletics can seemingly do no right against lefties.
The Pick
Back Valdez to allow fewer than 5.5 hits in tonight’s game for the Astros. We’ll trust the AI Model here.
MLB Pick: Framber Valdez Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (+105) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Wednesday, June 18, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
Our AI Model predicts Michael Conforto will add .423 hits tonight. However, his prop is at .5, with the Under at +115. Ultimately, the Under has hit in 64% of the games he has started and has a positive expected value (EV) percentage of 19%.
Michael Conforto Is Hitting 8th!
The once middle-of-the-lineup slugger, Michael Conforto, is hitting 8th for the Los Angeles Dodgers. He’s struggled to produce over the last month, putting up a .137 ISO and wOBA of .286 against his last 62 righties. Ultimately, the lefty has hit just 20% of line drives, which has resulted in a .184 BABIP against righties.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Stephen Kolek of the Padres, who has limited his last 62 lefties to a .146 ISO and only 24.3% of fly balls. Kolek is earning a high rate of ground balls against lefties this season, too.
The Pick
Conforto doesn’t have a great matchup. Let’s take the Under for Conforto’s hits.
MLB Pick: Michael Conforto Under .5 Hits (+115) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
