We’ve got an exciting slate in the MLB on Memorial Day. I used the AI Model to find three valuable plays for tonight’s portion of the slate. Let’s get right to it before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks!
Picks Summary
- Andrew Heaney Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (+108)
- Connor Norby Under .5 Runs (+133)
- Jack Kochanowicz Under 3.5 Ks (-110)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, May 26, 2025 – 08:10 PM EDT at Chase Field
The AI Model believes Andrew Heaney will only allow 4.648 hits in tonight’s game for the Pirates. However, his line is at 5.5, with the Under at +108. There’s so much value in backing the Under.
Tough Luck For Andrew Heaney
The Pittsburgh lefty has held his first 209 batters to a .167 ISO and wOBA of .297. He’s done very well this season, but has struggled a little more lately. Heaney has struck out only 7.7% of batters in the last 30 days. He’s also allowed a .273 ISO and wOBA of .403 with more than 14% of walks.
The walks could continue and wouldn’t be a problem for us. We just don’t want to see him allow a high rate of hits. That said, Heaney has added 48.6% of ground balls over the last 30 days and has limited teams to 21.4% of line drives.
He’s not getting swinging strikes, but he’s also not giving up brutal contact. He can work around this Arizona lineup if he continues to induce ground balls and limit hard line drives.
The Pick
Take Heaney to allow under 5.5 hits in tonight’s showdown against the Diamondbacks.
MLB Pick: Andrew Heaney Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (+108) at Caesars Sportsbook
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
Monday, May 26, 2025 – 08:40 PM EDT at Petco Park
The AI Model thinks Connor Norby will earn .458 runs in tonight’s game for the Marlins. However, his line is at .5, with the Under juiced to +133. This is another plus-money bet to consider for tonight.
Nobody Has Connor Norby’s Back!
Connor Norby hasn’t performed horribly against righties. The right-handed third baseman has hit a .206 ISO and wOBA of .320 in the last 30 days. These aren’t bad numbers. However, he’s struck out 33.3% of the time against righties and has walked no times over the last 30 days.
He’ll face Randy Vásquez, who has limited his last 50 righties to a .106 ISO and wOBA of .277. Vásquez has also limited righties to 17.9% of fly balls and 17.9% of line drives in that time frame.
Meanwhile, behind Norby in the lineup would likely be Matt Mervis and Javier Sanoja. Both have been dreadful offensively against righties. Jesús Sánchez would be next as the lead-off hitter, but he’s added a .092 ISO and wOBA of .298 against righties over the last 30 days.
Even if Norby finds a way on, he won’t have much help behind him.
The Pick
I’ll grab Norby to go under .5 runs tonight. Thank the AI Model when this one hits!
MLB Pick: Connor Norby Under .5 Runs (+133) at Caesars Sportsbook
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels
Monday, May 26, 2025 – 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
Our AI Model predicts Jack Kochanowicz will record 2.95 strikeouts against the Yankees tonight. His prop is at 3.5, with the Under at -110. That’s a really good play that you’ll want to consider.
Kochanowicz Is Not a Strikeout Thrower!
The Los Angeles Angels will give Jack Kochanowicz the ball tonight. The right-hander has only struck out 13.9% of batters this season. In addition, he’s struggled against lefties, allowing a .204 ISO and wOBA of .392 to 117 lefties this season.
The Yankees should have more lefties than righties in the lineup tonight. Plus, the likely five lefties have combined to hit a .227 ISO and wOBA of .353. Those guys could help knock Kochanowicz out of the game early.
As a projected lineup, the Yankees have smacked a .236 ISO and wOBA of .375 with only 20.3% of strikeouts against righties. There are also just two batters who have struck out more than 21.6% of the time against righties in the last 30 days. With so few targets, it’ll be difficult for Kochanowicz to even get to four strikeouts.
The Pick
Rock with the AI Model and take Kochanowicz to go Under 3.5 Ks.
MLB Pick: Jack Kochanowicz Under 3.5 Ks (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
