There are plenty of MLB games to choose from tonight! I’ve added three player props using the AI Model and discussed them below. Let’s start the week off strong!
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Angels
Monday, August 18, 2025 – 9:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
The AI Model thinks Jo Adell will earn .603 hits tonight. Yet, his hits prop is at .5, with the under at +160 at Caesars. That’s a solid plus-money bet with solid expected value, too.
Jo Adell Can’t Make Contact!
Over the last month, Angels outfielder Jo Adell has hit a .223 wOBA with 31.8% of strikeouts and only 2.3% of walks.
The largest reason for this is the fact that he’s hit 14% of line drives against righties over the last month as a right-handed batter. That’s why he’s hit a .154 BABIP against righties over the last month.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Brady Singer of the Reds. Singer has been terrific against righties over the last 30 days and has held his last 39 righties to a .028 ISO and wOBA of .183.
Singer has also earned more than 55% of ground balls against righties during that time and has allowed just 14.8% of fly balls and 14.8% of line drives to righties over the last 30 days.
This isn’t a great matchup for Adell, who continues to strike out nearly once every three at-bats against righties.
MLB Pick: Jo Adell Under .5 Total Hits (+160)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, August 18, 2025 – 9:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
Our AI Model believes Jose Herrera will earn .575 total bases. However, his prop is set at 1.5, with the under at just -120. That’s a steal, according to our AI Model.
Jose Herrera Isn’t Even Arizona’s Top Catcher!
The Arizona Diamondbacks have many catchers on the roster. Jose Herrera is one of the worst on the team. He’s hit a .259 wOBA against his last 23 righties as a switch-hitter. He’s also earned a .143 BABIP against righties as a lefty, and has hit 20% hard contact with a 0% barrel percentage.
Tonight, the catcher is expected to face Gavin Williams of the Guardians. Williams is a righty who has limited his last 64 lefties to a .257 wOBA. He’s also induced 68.4% of ground balls against lefties and has struck out close to 27% of left-handed batters.
This isn’t an ideal matchup for Herrea. Let’s face him and take his Under .5 in the total bases category.
MLB Pick: Jose Herrera Under .5 Total Bases (-120)
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
Monday, August 18, 2025 – 9:40 PM EDT at Petco Park
Our AI Model predicts Freddy Fermin will record .115 runs in tonight’s game. Ultimately, the catcher has a prop of .5, with the under at -240. Even at -240, it’s a massive play.
Fermin Ain’t It!
The Padres are set to face Robbie Ray of the San Francisco Giants. The left-handed has held his last 95 righties to a .262 ISO and wOBA of .379. He hasn’t been good against righties.
However, he’ll get a chance to face Freddy Fermin of the Padres, who has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .215. Fermin has a .211 BABIP against lefties over the last month and has hit a 0% barrel percentage against lefties.
Ultimately, Ray has still struck out 26.1% of righties this season and has allowed just a .295 wOBA to 467 righties this year. He should be able to get back on track against Fermin and other righties in the Padres’ lineup that haven’t hit lefties well lately.
Take Fermin to score below .5 runs in tonight’s game.
MLB Pick: Freddy Fermin Under .5 Runs (-240)
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