The MLB slate might be small tonight, but the AI Model should help us win big anyway. Here are three underdog bets to consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice.
Picks Summary:
- Brice Turang Under .5 Hits (+145)
- Seiya Suzuki Under .5 Hits (+185)
- Vinny Capra Under .5 Hits (+100)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Thursday, June 12, 2025 – 07:40 PM EDT at American Family Field
The AI Model believes Brice Turang will add .682 hits in tonight’s game for the Brewers. However, his line is currently at .5, with the Under at +145 odds. We love a good plus-money player prop!
Turang Doesn’t Look Good On Paper!
Brice Turang will likely lead off for the Milwaukee Brewers tonight.
The left-hander has added a .083 ISO and wOBA of .267 to his last 84 righties. He’s also struck out 26.2% of the time and has a BABIP of .260 over the previous month against righties.
Tonight, he’ll take on Sonny Gray, who has been terrific against lefties. The veteran righty has held his last 73 lefties to a .056 ISO and wOBA of .224. Gray has also added 53.1% of ground balls and has struck out more than 30% of lefties during the last month.
In addition, Gray has compiled 15.5% of swinging strikes and has earned 28.3% of whiffs. He’s also held lefties to a .292 BABIP and has given up only a 6.1% barrel percentage to lefties over the last 30 days. Turang and all the lefties in the Brewers lineup don’t have much potential against Gray.
The Pick
Ride with the AI Model and take Turang to go under .5 hits tonight.
MLB Pick: Brice Turang Under .5 Hits (+145) at Caesars Sportsbook
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Thursday, June 12, 2025 – 08:05 PM EDT at Wrigley Field
The AI Model thinks Seiya Suzuki will record .79 hits tonight. Meanwhile, his Under .5 hits is at +185 odds. He’s covered this line in only 35% of games this season, and this prop has a +10.3% edge using our model.
Can Andrew Heaney Slow Down Seiya Suzuki?
There aren’t many hitters as hot as Seiyz Suzuki. The Chicago right-hander has added a .417 ISO and wOBA of .491 with only 19.4% of strikeouts this season. He’s also hit a .444 ISO and woBA of .498 with only 11.8% of strikeouts over the last 30 days.
However, he’s facing Andrew Heaney of the Pirates, who has limited his last 83 righties to a .120 ISO and wOBA of .283. Heaney has held his last 83 righties to only 24.6% of fly balls and has walked just 8.4% of righties. In addition, righties have added just a 4.9% barrel percentage against Heaney over the last month.
If there’s any player who can stop Suzuki from being scorching hot against lefties, it’s Heaney.
The Pick
Let’s ride with Suzuki’s Under .5 hits at +185 odds. There’s so much value.
MLB Pick: Seiya Suzuki Under .5 Hits (+185) at Caesars Sportsbook
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
Thursday, June 12, 2025 – 08:10 PM EDT at Daikin Park
The AI Model likes Vinny Capra to earn .463 hits for the White Sox tonight. Meanwhile, his Under is at +100. This is an 11.7% +EV play and has covered eight of 11 Capra starts.
Don’t Bet The No. 9 Hitter!
The Chicago White Sox will face Framber Valdez of the Houston Astros tonight. Valdez has limited his last 139 batters to a .055 ISO and wOBA of .222 and has earned 68.2% of ground balls. He’s also struck out 28.8% of batters during that stretch and has allowed only 13.6% of line drives.
Ultimately, Valdez has pitched incredibly throughout the season and over the last month.
Meanwhile, the White Sox have done alright against lefties. But Vinny Capra certainly hasn’t been one of them. Capra is a right-handed third baseman who has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .000 against his last seven lefties. This year, he’s added a .079 ISO and woBA of .137 with more than 25% of strikeouts and no walks. He’s been absolutely dreadful against lefties throughout the year.
The Pick
Fade Capra and take him to go Under .5 hits.
MLB Pick: Vinny Capra Under .5 Hits (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
