We’ve got 15 games on the MLB slate tonight! Therefore, I checked with the AI Model and found a few underdog plays that should be considered for tonight. Let’s get right to it!
The Picks
- Phillies ML (+126)
- Angels ML (+148)
- Nationals ML (+142)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 – 8:10 PM EDT at Daikin Park
Our AI Model believes the Phillies will fall to the Astros, 4-3.4.1. However, the Phillies are +126 on the moneyline. With only a .2 differential, the Phillies shouldn’t be +126 on the moneyline. There’s value with the Phillies tonight.
How Can You Fade Ranger Suarez?
The Phillies will send out Ranger Suarez for tonight’s game against the Astros. The veteran lefty has held his last 129 batters to a .083 ISO and wOBA of .239 over the previous month. He’s also added nearly 60% of ground balls and has allowed fewer than 20% of fly balls over the last month.
The Astros have hit lefties well, but typically, a dominant pitcher will always overmatch a dominant lineup.
Suarez will compete against Framber Valdez, who has also been just as dominant as him. Valdez has earned close to 69% of ground balls and has struck out nearly 33% of batters over the last month.
It’ll be a competitive pitching duel between Valdez and Suarez. However, either team can ultimately emerge victorious. That’s why we’re better off backing the Phillies, who are +126 on the moneyline.
In a game that looks like a toss-up, take the underdog! Ride with the AI Model and consider the Phillies at +126 MLB odds.
MLB Pick: Phillies ML (+126) at Caesars Sportsbook
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 – 9:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
The AI Model the Angels will only lose 4.1-3.7 tonight. Yet, they’re +148 on the moneyline at home. In a projected tight game, taking +148 for the home team is ideal.
Can The Angels Find Their Power?
The Angels don’t have an easy task going up against Garrett Crochet. However, the lineup has hit a .243 ISO and wOBA of .317 against lefties over the last month. There’s a legitimate chance the Angels catch Crochet for a couple of home runs tonight.
On the other hand, Tyler Anderson will start for the Angels. He’s another lefty who hasn’t pitched nearly as well as Crochet. However, he’s got an easier matchup against a Red Sox team that has hit a .160 ISO over the last month against lefties.
The Red Sox have struggled earning walks against lefties and have five batters who have struck out at least 20% of the time against lefties.
I’ll rock with the Angels at +148 at home, even against Crochet. Anderson can keep the game close.
MLB Pick: Angels ML (+148) at Caesars Sportsbook
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 – 9:40 PM EDT at Petco Park
The AI Model thinks the Padres will defeat the Nationals by .3. That doesn’t warrant a -165 price tag for the Padres. You’ll want to consider +142 for the Nationals on the road tonight.
Trevor Williams Can Compete!
The Washington Nationals will throw Trevor Williams tonight. He’s a righty who has limited his last 106 batters to a .130 ISO and wOBA of .302. Williams isn’t getting a high rate of strikeouts, but he’s limiting walks well.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on a Padres lineup that has only hit a .140 ISO and wOBA of .308 over the last 30 days. This lineup has more below-average hitters in the previous 30 days.
On the other hand, Ryan Bergert will pitch for the Padres. He’s dominated against lefties, but has struggled against righties over the last 30 days. Additionally, he’s allowed 41.7% of fly balls and only 25% of ground balls to lefties in the previous month. He’s been a bit lucky against lefties lately.
Washington’s lineup has produced more power over the last month against righties, too. Consider the Nationals at +142 tonight.
MLB Pick: Nationals ML (+142) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
