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NHL Computer Picks for May 26: Hurricanes on the Brink in Game 4

Carolina Hurricanes v Florida Panthers - Game Three
Brent Burns #8 of the Carolina Hurricanes checks Brad Marchand #63 of the Florida Panthers in Game Three of the Eastern Conference Final of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Amerant Bank Arena on May 24, 2025 in Sunrise, Florida. The Panthers defeated the Hurricanes 6-2. Bruce Bennett/Getty Images/AFP

Following yet another beatdown by the Florida Panthers by a scoreline of 6-2, the Carolina Hurricanes now find themselves down 0-3 in this Eastern Conference finals with little hope of turning the series around.

Coming into game four at the Amerant Bank Arena, the top-rated sportsbooks have the Hurricanes priced as high as +145 on the moneyline while the Panthers are juiced to -170 on the moneyline.

Picks Summary:

  • Over 5.5 Goals (+100)
  • Brad Marchand Over 0.5 Points (+110)

*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


Carolina Hurricanes vs. Florida Panthers

Monday, May 26, 2025 – 08:00 PM EDT at Amerant Bank Arena


Florida Domination

It’s almost impossible to believe that the Carolina Hurricanes can turn this series around, down 0-3 means they will now have to win four games in a row if they wish to be in this seasons Stanley Cup finals, and given how the first three games have gone for them we can’t see that happening.

Although this is the NHL and anything can happen, this Panthers team is just too dominant on the ice. Sure, they might catch them on a bad day and win one game, you might even out play them in another game and snatch two wins in a row, but four in a row is almost an impossible task against most NHL teams, yet alone the best team in the league across the previous 24 months.

It’s hard to make a case for the Hurricanes in this scenario, yes they done well to see off the Washington Capitals who topped the Eastern Conference, but in reality all they really had to do was shut down Alex Ovechkin, and the first round win over the New Jersey Devils wasn’t exactly a test as they disposed of them 4-1.

Carolina vs. Florida Trends & Facts

  • In 78 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Florida has won 47 times.
  • The Panthers have been victorious in 24 of the 39 games they have played with moneyline odds shorter than -172.
  • Florida is 7-1 in its last 8 games.
  • Carolina is 1-5 in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida.
  • The total has gone over in 10 of Florida’s last 13 games.

Player Prop Pick

Brad Marchand can probably not almost believe his luck, from being shock traded to the Panthers only a few weeks ago, he is now on course to win another Stanley Cup, and he has proved himself throughout the playoffs having contributed 13 points in 15 post-season games.

Marchand has scored 4 goals along with 9 assists, and we like the look of his odds at plus money to see just one point in this game four. Currently, Marchand is priced at +110 to have over 0.5 points in tonight’s game. Given how he and the Panthers have been playing we would happily lay this down to as low as -110, maybe even -115 if you’re really feeling it.

Marchand scored his first point of the series last time out, and we feel he can contribute again tonight for back-to-back point games.

NHL Pick: Brad Marchand Over 0.5 Points (+110) at Bet365

The Pick

The Panthers and Hurricanes might be defensive teams, but right now the Panthers are red hot offensively, with 10 of the Panthers’ previous 13 games going over the total thanks to their high-scoring offense. The Panthers have scored at least five goals in 6 of their previous 8 NHL outings.

We are very happy to see that we are getting plus money for this game to see six or more goals, although it’s just about plus money as the over 5.5 line has been set at +100 for this Eastern Conference finals game four. With that being said we would happily bet the over 5.5 goals down to as low as -115, so there is still some value to squeeze out of the over.

The Hurricanes will likely look to try to limit the Panthers’ offense, but it hasn’t worked in the opening three games, so why should we believe they will be able to pull it off tonight? Overall, the Panthers are too strong all around.

NHL Pick: Over 5.5 Goals (+100) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-GAMBLER

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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