The 2025 WNBA All-Star Game is here, and top-rated sportsbooks have released their odds — with Team Collier now a clear 5.5-point favorite over a shorthanded Team Clark.
With Caitlin Clark and Satou Sabally both sidelined, oddsmakers and bettors are adjusting quickly. But this isn’t just about injuries — it’s about matchups, depth, and dominance.
In this breakdown, we’ll explore why Team Collier has the edge in shooting, scoring, facilitating, and overall star power. From three-point threats to MVP candidates, we’ll show why this All-Star clash could get lopsided — and where your best bet lies.
Let’s dig in before heading to Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review) for tonight’s action.
Team Collier vs. Team Clark
Saturday, July 19, 2025 – 08:30 PM EDT at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Team Collier’s Depth Shifts the WNBA All-Star Game Odds
Both teams, Team Clark and Team Collier, have been formed. Team Collier opened as a small favorite, and the line has shifted three points in its favor.
With Caitlin Clark plus Team Clark teammate Satou Sabally sidelined, Team Collier is now favored by 5.5 points. Guard Brittney Sykes and forward Brionna Jones will replace them. For Team Collier, the injured Rhyne Howard has been replaced by guard Kayla McBride.
When you see all of the talent that is still on Team Clark, it is tempting to pick them to cover the spread as the underdog because it is always tempting to pick a talented underdog.
However, we need to con,.tinually compare these teams. Team Clark will not appear to be talented in this game because it will be outmatched by its opponent.
I will argue that Team Clark’s strengths will be negated by Team Collier, which also has the overwhelmingly stronger roster.
History
Since the team captain format commenced in 2018, the All-Star Games have regularly been rather uneven.
The 2019 affair was close, but the other team captain games were decided by seven or more points. The two Team WNBA vs. Team USA games were both decided by at least eight points.
With so many high-level scorers —women capable of putting up 20 points even in an All-Star Game where they don’t get as many minutes as in the regular season— the margin of victory tends to be larger.
Betting Angle
To break down this game, we need to look at both rosters and judge which team’s scorers are likelier to have great games.
This is a talent contest. Neither team will impress in terms of things like scheme and chemistry because most of the players have collected minimal experience playing with each other.
My argument, stated differently, is that, over the course of the game, Team Collier will be too good, as their pricing of -200 on the moneyline suggests.
Team Clark’s Supposed Strength
The best argument for Team Clark has to center on the priority that team captain Caitlin Clark, being a sharpshooter herself, placed on shooters for her squad’s roster.
Clark’s absence deals a blow to her team’s chances. Clearly, Team Clark wants to mainly shoot threes, and Clark would have formed a large part of this endeavor.
Frankly, Team Collier would still have the better shooters even if Clark were healthy.
This is why I don’t get any argument for Team Clark: its strength in this game is supposed to be three-point shooting, but Team Collier is clearly better in this respect.
It’s an objective fact: four of the WNBA’s top five in three-pointers made per game will suit up for this All-Star Game—and three of them are on Team Collier. Kayla McBride, Kelsey Plum, and Allisha Gray rank second, third, and fifth, respectively.
Team Collier’s Stronger Inside Scoring
Team Collier’s biggest advantage will come inside — in addition to having better three-point shooters, Team Collier will dominate around the basket.
Team Clark’s disadvantage in this respect will be exacerbated by Clark’s absence.
Aliyah Boston—Clark’s teammate on both the Fever and Team Clark—has struggled to hit 20-point performances when Clark is off the floor, missing the floor spacing and playmaking that Clark’s presence provides.
The chemistry that Clark and her Indiana Fever teammates would have enjoyed in this game will not come to fruition.
Brains, Brawn, and Buckets
Team Collier is well-stocked with bullies like Angel Reese, who reliably have their way inside.
While women like Reese characteristically like to attack the basket, her inside-scoring teammates distinguish themselves by also being strong in the mid-range.
Whereas, for example, A’ja Wilson of Team Clark converts all of 38.1 percent of her field goal attempts five-to-nine feet from the basket, Napheesa Collier and Breanna Stewart are efficient in this space.
Their superior range and versatility as scorers makes them harder to defend — opposing defenders can’t simply, for example, patrol the rim when guarding them.
Facilitators
Team Collier’s advantage in inside scoring talent will be maximized by its facilitating talent.
With Clark out, the WNBA’s top assist-getters in this game will all play for Team Collier:
- Alyssa Thomas ranks number one in assists per game.
- Courtney Williams ranks number three in assists per game.
- Skylar Diggins ranks number five in assists per game.
These are players who distribute the ball well. Inside scorers benefit from having teammates who can reliably put them in position to succeed.
Better Overall Players
The three leading healthy MVP candidates all play for Team Collier. As of this writing, this is how they are listed per Bet365:
- Napheesa Collier is -600 to win MVP
- Alyssa Thomas is +650 to win MVP
- Breanna Stewart is +2000 to win MVP
With these players, Team Collier will also do a better job of playing defense.
True, All-Star Games are never known for their defense, but the point remains because better defenders will show that they are better while everybody expends less effort. The low-effort nature of All-Star Games only means that nobody will play defense as well as she is capable of doing.
Collier will likely be Defensive Player of the Year, as she is a major reason why her Minnesota Lynx rank number one in defensive rating.
Takeaway
In some games, judging talent can feel like a very imprecise endeavor. But in this case, Team Collier clearly has the better shooters, the better inside scorers, and the better overall players. These are not rough judgments but objectively supported, well-substantiated claims.
We can and will see why team captain games tend to be uneven. In line with the other team captain games, expect one team to win by a lot of points. That team will be Team Collier, so you can rest assured that Team Collier -5.5 at -120 will be your best pick of the night at Bet365.
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
