BETTING

WNBA Top Picks for July 23: Count on the Phoenix Mercury

There’s just one WNBA game on the schedule tonight, but it offers plenty of intrigue and betting value at the top-rated sportsbooks.

Both teams are above .500 and have outperformed preseason expectations. Phoenix enters at 15-7 after winning three of its last four games, while Atlanta sits at 13-10 despite losing three of four.

This is the first meeting between these two teams in 2025, but they’ll see each other three times over the next month. Expect the intensity and familiarity to build quickly.

Defensively, neither side has been particularly sharp this season. That opens the door for a high-scoring affair and several player prop angles worth targeting tonight at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review).


Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury

Wednesday, July 23, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT at PHX Arena

Brionna Jones has added at least 13 points per game in 63% of games this season. She’ll take on a Phoenix squad that ranks in the bottom half of the league in points per game allowed to forwards.

On the other hand, Satou Sabally has recorded at least 18 points in 61% of games this season. She’ll also get to face an Atlanta defense that ranks in the bottom half of the league in points allowed per game to forwards this season.

Finally, Phoenix’s Sami Whitcomb has gained at least four rebounds in just 48% of games this season. Recently, she has struggled to stay consistent with rebounds and will now face an Atlanta defense that ranks fourth in the WNBA in rebounds allowed to shooting guards.

Brionna Jones Needs To Step Up!

Brionna Jones hasn’t scored at least 13 points in four of her last five games. Yet, she’s still hit this line in 63% of games this season.

Interestingly, Jones has never played the Mercury in her career. However, she’s set to face a Mercury squad that ranks 8th in the WNBA in points allowed to power forwards. Jones should get some quality looks throughout this game.

Over the last ten games, she’s shot 56.9% from the field. She’s also hit more than five field goals per game and has averaged more than nine shots per game over the last ten games.

Additionally, she’s added at least one bucket on a second chance in three consecutive games. If her Over 12.5 points priced around -115 sounds attractive to you, that’ll help, too.

Give Sabally Her Credit!

When people talk about the best players in the league, they often forget about Satou Sabally. However, the Mercury forward has scored at least 18 points in 61% of games this season.

She’s also added at least 18 points in six of her last ten games and nailed this line in 67% of games last year. Add on the fact that she’s facing an Atlanta team that ranks 9th in points allowed to power forwards.

Sabally will likely have another massive game for the Mercury, so we can trust her Over 17.5 Points priced around +100.

Whitcomb Isn’t Fishing For Rebounds!

Over the last two games, Sami Whitcomb has contributed just two rebounds total.

Yes, she’s played more than 50 minutes in the previous two games and has combined for just two total rebounds. Tonight, she’ll battle an Atlanta squad that ranks in the top four in rebounds allowed to guards this season.

The Dream does not make it easy for guards when it comes to rebounding. Therefore, let’s finish off tonight’s game with Whitcomb to add below 3.5 rebounds priced around -146.

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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