
We’re headed to Week 7 of the NFL season, and believe it or not, there’s not a single undefeated team in the NFL.
It feels like this season is wide open. After all, the Kansas City Chiefs are 3-3, the Philadelphia Eagles have lost two straight, the Baltimore Ravens are struggling big time, and the Buffalo Bills aren’t even leading in the AFC East right now.
With the top players struggling to perform at the highest level, the MVP race has been dramatically opened up.
Patrick Mahomes is still the favorite, with Josh Allen right behind him. But those two aren’t performing nearly as well as in previous seasons. That could open it up for a new player to win the MVP.
Let’s take a look at the current NFL MVP odds board right now.
2026 NFL MVP Odds
Position | Player | Team | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | +200 |
2 | Josh Allen | Bills | +300 |
3 | Baker Mayfield | Buccaneers | +350 |
4 | Drake Maye | Patriots | +1000 |
5 | Jared Goff | Lions | +1600 |
6 | Matthew Stafford | Rams | +1600 |
2025-26 NFL MVP Players to Watch
Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson were the heavy favorites entering the season. But with Jackson out with an injury, Mahomes and the Chiefs at 3-3, and Allen being a loser of two straight games, the market is wide open for another name to potentially win the award.
Patrick Mahomes (+200)
The Kansas City Chiefs are currently 3-3 through six games. Mahomes is 6th in passing yards and 5th in passing touchdowns. He’s also got a 76.1, which is 4th-best in the league.
His 11 touchdowns to two interceptions look appealing. But most importantly, he’ll get Rashee Rice back from a six-game suspension starting this week. The offense should get much better down the stretch, but I’d still be worried about taking Patrick Mahomes to win the MVP. The Chiefs aren’t washed, but they’re certainly not the team they once were.
After all, Mahomes only has one game with more than 270 yards passing. He’s also added just one game with three touchdowns. There are other players who have performed better.
Josh Allen (+300)
After losing two straight games, Josh Allen’s stock has crashed a bit. He’s thrown for nearly 1,400 yards and 11 touchdowns, but has a 62.4 QBR, which is 13th in the league.
Ultimately, he’s able to look better with his running ability, and I think the Bills will be alright down the stretch. It’s not a bad buy-low spot. The main issue here is the fact that Buffalo’s four wins came against really bad opponents. It’s unclear if the Bills have taken a step back this year.
Until Allen and the Bills prove it against other teams, it’s hard to back Allen right now.
Baker Mayfield (+350)
Baker Mayfield was almost thrown out of the league and labeled a bust. Now, he’s playing at a high level and leading the Buccaneers to one of the best seasons in franchise history.
Mayfield has thrown for 1,539 yards and 12 touchdowns. He’s also added just one interception and is playing with his top four playmakers injured right now. Yet, that hasn’t stopped him from absolutely destroying other defenses.
Mayfield has led the Bucs to a 5-1 record and has completed 66.2% of his passes. He’s also had at least two passing touchdowns in five of the first six games.
Mayfield is performing at the best level out of any other player and would be the MVP favorite if his name were Patrick Mahomes. Mayfield’s production will likely improve once Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Emeka Egbuka, and Bucky Irving are back.
Betting On The Favorites and What To Do Next
The only reason Mahomes and Allen are at the top of the player futures list is because of what they’ve done in recent years. Those two are not performing up to their standards.
Baker Mayfield is. As I mentioned earlier, Mayfield will likely only improve when he gets his playmakers back from their respective injuries.
Timing is everything in sports betting. Make sure you get Mayfield at +350 before next week. If he continues to play lights out, those odds won’t be available by next week at this time.

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