As long as there’s still college football this season, our Wednesday night football bets are dedicated to the MAC.
We have a couple of good games for the Week 13 college football lineup, including a tight spread between Miami (OH) and Buffalo. That’s where we’re looking for our best college football bets this Wednesday night.
Best Bets for Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo
For tonight’s NCAAF picks, we have Buffalo (5-5) hosting Miami of Ohio (5-5) with both teams having a 4-2 MAC record and looking to get back above .500. Miami just lost 24-3 at home to Toledo in a disappointing effort.
Buffalo has a good defense, but the Bulls allowed a season-high 38 points in a 38-19 loss on the road against Central Michigan last week. However, CMU did have two return touchdowns in that game, so it wasn’t all on the defense in giving up those 38 points. But it was definitely a sloppy performance.
Wednesday Night Odds (Buffalo +1.5)
Buffalo opened as a 2.5-point home favorite, but the line has gone the other way in favor of Miami (OH), with most sportsbooks making them a 1.5-point road favorite in this MAC matchup.
Miami has certainly fared much better with a 6-4 ATS record compared to just 3-6-1 ATS for Buffalo this season. Buffalo also has a losing record at home (2-3 SU), so it hasn’t been the toughest place for visitors to shine this year.
The total opened at 39.5 points and has more or less remained there with some sportsbooks lowering it to 38.5 as a defensive battle is expected here. For the Miami RedHawks, the line over 39.5 points is just 5-5 this year. For Buffalo, only 4-of-10 games have gone under 39.5 points with the over on a 4-1 run.
So, there could be some value on the over here.
Wednesday Night Pick
For our Wednesday night prediction, the season-long trends favor Miami (OH), but we are going with the home team to cover the small spread and likely get the win.
Buffalo needs to avoid turning the ball over here, but when it does protect the ball, the Bulls have scored at least 28 points in all 5 wins this year. They’re 0-5 when they’re held under 20 points and this feels like a game where they could score at least 20.
Miami’s recent play hasn’t been inspiring as the RedHawks haven’t topped 26 points in 5-of-6 games. The offense really struggled with Toledo last week at home, and their passing game is not far off from a 50% completion rate and a lead running back who only averages 4.4 yards per carry.
They’re not an explosive or consistent defense.
In a game that should be close, we’ll take home-field advantage to propel the Buffalo upset. You can always bet on other college football games in a respectable Week 13 schedule in college football.
Miami (OH)’s Henry Hesson (Under 170.5 Passing Yards)
For a favorite player prop in this matchup, we’re looking at Miami quarterback Henry Hesson, who reportedly will start the remaining games for the RedHawks this year.
He’s actually a big part of the reason why we went with Buffalo to cover the spread, as his play was inexplicably bad against Toledo, with 11-of-38 passing for 147 yards and 3 interceptions.
He’s a 4-year player at Miami but has little in-game experience as a starter. He threw for 208 yards against Lindenwood earlier this season, but that’s not an FBS school. He has completed just 43.4% of the 106 passes he’s thrown in his career, and he averages just 6.0 yards per pass attempt.
With the projection that Buffalo wins at home, we like Hesson to finish under 170.5 passing yards.
What We Covered and Next Steps
For the best Wednesday college football bets, the game we’re most looking forward to is in the MAC between Buffalo and Miami (OH). We like Buffalo to cover the 1.5-point spread at home and for Miami quarterback Henry Hesson to throw for under 170.5 yards.
Timing is always crucial in sports betting, and the betting lines can change quickly with new information. That’s why you should create accounts with different sportsbooks and price shop to make sure you’re getting the best lines and odds before you make your college football bets.
One way you can do this quickly is to download the free OddsTrader app for iOS and Android devices.
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