The last game on the Week 13 slate features the white-hot New England Patriots against their longtime nemesis, the New York Giants. Our Monday Night Football bets will reveal which side is the sharpest, and we’ll have a solid player prop in the mix as well.
Although the Giants have not been good this season, the good news is that very few expected them to be even middling. However, New York’s late first-round pick, Jaxson Dart, has shown that he belongs as a starting quarterback, although his status is questionable after missing the last two weeks in concussion protocol.
If Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders were last year’s Cinderella stories, then this year it is undeniably Drake Maye and the Patriots. The Patriots are living large and in charge as the AFC East leaders, boasting a stunning 10-2 record as they enter this Monday night meeting.
Let’s review the NFL odds and discover our best bets for tonight on this MNF battle between the Giants and Patriots.
Best Bets for New York Giants vs. New England Patriots
Tonight’s NFL picks impel us to tune out all the hype on the Patriots as the squares hammer the hometown favorite whose football renaissance has captured everyone’s attention. Although I don’t relish being the abject contrarian, I think it is important to acknowledge how thoroughly decimated the Patriots’ offensive line is after sustaining several critical injuries last week.
However, before we get too caught up in fading a juggernaut like the Patriots, let us also consider that the Giants are 2-10, the mirror opposite of New England’s 10-2 mark, but both teams are coincidentally 7-5 against the spread. We should also take note of the Giants’ three recent losses, all to solid teams in the Bears, Packers, and Lions, in that they covered in all three of those games, making them officially “gritty” losers.
On the other hand, the Patriots can’t do anything but win despite several miscues. New England had 10 tries on first and goal to punch it through last week and failed on every occasion. Nevertheless, they did manage a 26-20 road win over the Bengals (sans Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase).
Monday Night Odds (Patriots -7½)
Watching the NFL odds on this contest has been like staring at wet paint, hoping to see it dry. The game opened at New England -7½, and it has stuck there like mud. I should be clear that there have been a few small instances of this dropping to -7, but that is likely due to value bettors taking a bite out of the visiting underdogs at a price north of a touchdown.
As for the total, we have seen much more movement in that regard, as it opened at 48 and has fallen to 46½ at virtually all of the US-licensed sportsbooks.
Monday Night Picks (Giants +7½)
The Patriots won a Pyrrhic victory last week because New England lost starting blindside tackle and guard, Will Campbell and Jared Wilson, respectively. Fortunately for the Patriots, both will return this season, but not for this game.
You may recall that New England’s primary issues last season began and ended with their porous offensive line. It was so bad that even a rookie named Drake Maye had little luck in moving the chains. Losing Campbell and Wilson comes at a bad time for Maye, as they have been his blindside protectors throughout the season, and now he must face an aggressive Giants pass rush that will bring the heat early and often.
The OddsTrader AI model is predicting the Patriots to win 26-20, which would mean New England would win but New York would cover, and that would be just fine with me. If we take a look at the Week 13 NFL odds and compare the -7½ the Pats are laying to other weeks, we find that they seem to take their foot off the pedal against bad teams, like their failed covers against the Jets and Falcons.
Both games should have been easy covers, and although this iteration of the Patriots may be stunningly overachieving, they haven’t figured out how to put bad teams away.
Lastly, the Giants are better with Jaxson Dart in the pocket, and he may just return for this one. If not, we have a wild card in Jameis Winston, who passes for a lot of touchdowns but just as many interceptions. Either way, I’m betting on the road underdogs getting a click above a touchdown.
NFL Pick: Giants +7.5 (-110) at BetMGM
Giants’ Jaxson Dart Over 25½ Rushing Yards
Jaxson Dart will likely play in this game, considering he was on the precipice of returning last week, but they held him out due to an abundance of caution. This week, he will meet a Patriots’ defense that does most things well but has had issues containing mobile quarterbacks who sneak around the edge.
Few do that as well as Dart, and there is little doubt he will use his legs to move the chains, particularly because he won’t have an easy time spotting open targets. Go over this modest rushing yards total for Jaxson Dart.
OddsTrader has an entire list of team and player props, if there are any others you might be interested in this week.
NFL Pick: Jaxson Dart Over 25.5 Rushing Yards at BetMGM
Place your NFL Monday Night Bets Now
The Monday Night Football bets I posted today don’t stay stagnant forever. The odds, point spreads, totals, and props are dynamic, which means the lines and odds you see written here on the Giants and the Jaxson Dart player prop could move in the blink of an eye.
In short, if you like the value you’re seeing on this or any of the other NFL odds being posted, then don’t delay and get down today!
It is essential that you obtain the sharpest line available, and the only way to do that is to immediately bet on the games and ensure you have an active account.
That’s right, make certain your account is funded, and perhaps get accounts at two or more sportsbooks so you can compare the numbers. Shop around, dare to compare, and make sure to get down at a place you trust and at the best US-licensed sportsbooks in the nation.
Include OddsTrader Turbo as One of Your Betting Tools
Stop guessing and start winning with OddsTrader Turbo. This is like having a personal assistant, available 24/7, for just a few dollars per month. Harness the power of artificial intelligence and let OddsTrader Turbo do all the heavy lifting as a bet analyzer tailored to your needs.
Below are just a few features:
- 5-star picks with a 73% accuracy rating
- Exclusive BetStation chatbot for expert advice, betting tips, and AI-powered insight
- Sportsbook syncing to keep track of all your bets across all your sportsbook accounts in one place
- Game alerts
- Real-time line movement updates
- 5 Star AI picks
Start a free 30-day trial and ask BetStation questions regarding the games mentioned above. It’s all right here at OddsTrader. If you try it once, you’ll never gamble again without it!
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.