The spotlight will be shining brightly for the Week 13 finale between the Broncos and Commanders, which means our Sunday Night Football bets will be locked and loaded on these two sides and a prop bet to boot.
In a bit of scheduling irony, the Broncos are the Commanders of last year. An upstart team that has become the Cinderella story of the league. Denver is in command of the AFC West and is fresh off a bye week after defeating the perennial division champions, the Kansas City Chiefs.
Washington’s superstar quarterback, Jayden Daniels, has been hampered by injuries, and his status is questionable for this matchup after missing the last several weeks due to a dislocated left elbow. The Commanders are a bitterly disappointing 3-8 entering this matchup.
Let’s review the NFL odds and discover our best bets for tonight on this SNF clash between Denver and Washington.
Best Bets for Broncos vs. Commanders
Tonight’s NFL picks shift our focus to a tough-as-nails Broncos defense and a young quarterback, Bo Nix, who has shown flashes of brilliance along with raw immaturity. The Broncos check in with a 9-2 mark and are 5-5-1 against the spread.
Nix has 18 touchdown passes with eight picks for over 2,400 yards in 11 games this season. He also has three rushing TDs for a total of 213 rushing yards, but his completion percentage is near the bottom of all NFL starting quarterbacks at 61.2%.
As for the Commanders, they have been lost throughout the season after their stunning run deep into the postseason last year, with then-rookie Jayden Daniels performing magic en route to his Offensive Rookie of the Year campaign.
Washington is a dismal 3-8 both straight up and against the number this season after suffering a 16-13 loss to the Dolphins before entering their bye last week.
Sunday Night Odds (Commanders +6½)
The NFL odds on this contest have been frozen since it was released late Sunday night, and we could see the chalk-eaters taking a bite out of this -6 ½ to the point where the oddsmakers move this number up a notch to the magical Denver -7.
As for the total, in comparison to the other games, this is not quite as low as I initially suspected. The oddsmakers have installed the total at 43½, and it, like the line on the game, has not moved one iota.
Sunday Night Picks (Broncos -6½)
The OddsTrader AI model is predicting the Broncos to win 25-18, which would mean a Denver cover and elicit wide smiles from guys like me betting on the Broncos. The total curiously lands on 43, but I have a feeling that this Denver defense could be far more impressive than that.
One would think a road favorite as high as -6½ would be one of the more chalky sides this week, but a quick look at the Week 13 NFL odds reveals there are several teams with higher spreads than Denver.
The wild card in all of this is Jayden Daniels, but even if he does play, he has not been right this season due to lingering injuries. Either that or it’s a case of the sophomore slump. Daniels has only appeared in six games, while backup Marcus Mariota has either started or relieved Daniels in seven contests.
Broncos Defense vs. Commanders Rushing and Passing Game
Denver makes their bones on defense, and only an elite offense can counter that equation. However, the Commanders don’t possess anything resembling a top-tier offense, although they do boast a solid rushing game, ranked sixth, averaging over 138 yards per game.
As for an aerial attack, unfortunately for the Commanders, it’s more akin to a mild affront. Washington ranks 24th in passing, while Denver boasts the No. 4 run-stop unit and the No. 5 passing defense. I’m not sure how the Commanders get on the board.
As for Washington’s defense, it has been abysmal. Consider the following:
- Commanders’ defense ranks No. 31 in total yards allowed
- Commanders’ run defense ranks No. 27 in yards allowed
- Commanders’ pass defense ranks No. 29 in yards allowed
- Commanders’ pass defense ranks No. 32 in passing yards per completion
- Commanders’ pass defense ranks No. 32 in opponents’ QB rating
- Commanders’ pass defense ranks No. 28 in points allowed (26.9 PPG).
Lay it and like it with the Broncos.
NFL Pick: Broncos -6.5 (-112) at BetMGM
Denver’s Bo Nix (Anytime Touchdown Scorer +300)
Bo Nix does not break the plane of the end zone very often; in fact, he has only done it three times this season. However, two of those three rushing touchdowns came against another anemic run defense, the dead-last rushing defensive unit of the New York Giants, earlier this season.
I can see Nix on third and goal scooting around the edge and scampering into the end zone. The folks at BetMGM are giving us 3x our money, so why not?
OddsTrader has an entire list of team and NFL player props; if there are any others you might be interested in this week.
NFL Pick: Bo Nix Anytime Touchdown Scorer +300 at BetMGM
Place Your Sunday Night Football Picks Now
The Sunday Night Football bets I posted today don’t stay stagnant forever. The odds, point spreads, totals, and props are dynamic, which means the lines and odds you see written here on the Broncos and the Bo Nix player prop could move in the blink of an eye.
In short, if you like the value you’re seeing on this or any of the other NFL odds being posted, then don’t delay and get down today!
It is essential that you obtain the sharpest line available, and the only way to do that is to immediately bet on the games and ensure you have an active account.
That’s right, make certain your account is funded, and perhaps get accounts at two or more sportsbooks like BetMGM and Caesars so you can compare the numbers. Shop around, dare to compare, and make sure to get down at a place you trust and at the best US-licensed sportsbooks in the nation.
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