This Black Friday has plenty of great college football rivalry games in Week 14, including in-state battles like Georgia vs. Georgia Tech and Arizona vs. Arizona State.
However, the top matchup for our Friday college football bets is definitely No. 3 Texas A&M putting its undefeated season on the line against No. 17 Texas on the road. Will it be 12-0 for the Aggies or the biggest win yet for Arch Manning and the Longhorns?
Let’s preview the matchup with our best bets for tonight.
Best Bets for Texas A&M vs. Texas
For tonight’s NCAAF picks, we’ve got a huge SEC game as the 11-0 Texas A&M Aggies are on the road against the 8-3 Texas Longhorns.
Based on the preseason polls, it was supposed to be Texas vying for a perfect season and championship run, while the Aggies are more of a top 20 team, maybe looking on the outside of the college football playoffs.
However, the Aggies come in undefeated thanks to a 30-3 comeback against South Carolina two weeks ago. They survived that 31-30 scare before crushing Samford 48-0 last week. Now this is their final test to clinch the school’s first ever 12-0 season. But Texas isn’t an easy opponent, and the Longhorns are coming off a 52-37 win over Arkansas as the Manning-led offense has started to figure things out.
Friday Night Odds (Texas +2.5)
This crucial Friday matchup has had a lot of line movement from months ago, when the Longhorns opened as a 10.5-point favorite. But after the seasons these teams have had, it’s the Aggies who are a 2.5-point road favorite now.
Neither team has fared that well against the spread, as Texas A&M is 5-6 ATS and Texas is 3-8 ATS. But maybe the better measure is that Texas A&M has outperformed the spread by an average of +1.2 points, while the Texans have underperformed the spread by an average of -3.7 points this year.
The total has been steady at over/under 51.5 points. The Longhorns rank 50th in scoring and 25th in points allowed, but the defense has been feast or famine with 5 games allowing 29-plus points and 6 games where they didn’t allow more than 14 points.
Texas A&M is an explosive offense that has scored at least 31 points in every game but the 16-10 win over Auburn, though the team has allowed 40 points twice already.
Friday Night Picks (Over 51.5 Points)
For our Friday night prediction, the spread is too close to call with strong underdog vibes from the host, Texas. That’s why our favorite pick is the over 51.5 points, as these teams have looked shaky at times on defense.
Texas A&M Marcel Reed obviously has the dual-threat ability to drop 30 on anybody, and he’s shown he can lead a 27-point comeback even if his 3 turnovers put the team in the hole in the first place against South Carolina.
However, Arch Manning has been playing better, and we just saw Texas get into an 89-point shootout with Arkansas last week. The Longhorns have scored at least 34 points in 3-of-4 games coming into this one, so look for them to score something respectable here too while helping to hit the over with Texas A&M.
Texas’ Arch Manning (Over 250.5 Passing Yards)
For a top player prop in this game, we’re focused on Texas quarterback Arch Manning and his passing yards.
It was a rough start for the preseason favorite to win the Heisman Trophy, but you tell me who would excel on the road against Ohio State’s top-ranked defense? With more experience, we’re seeing some of that Manning DNA shining through as Manning has turned his season around a little after unfathomable hype.
But this is more about the matchup here.
The Longhorns don’t have a great running game, and the Aggies can score a lot of points as we expect them to do. That means Manning needs to keep throwing and carry the offense.
He’s gone over 250.5 passing yards in 7-of-11 games this year, including in all but one game at home. He’s also thrown for at least 328 yards in 3-of-4 games in the last month, so he’s on a good run now and the game script favors him to go over again.
Place Your Friday Night College Football Bets!
For your Friday college football bets, our top game on a good college football Week 14 slate is Texas A&M vs. Texas.
While we lean towards Texas A&M finishing 12-0 this regular season, our best bet is the over 51.5 points. We also like Texas quarterback Arch Manning to throw for over 250.5 passing yards for the 5th game in a row.
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