The 2026 WNBA season is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in recent memory, with superstar talent spread across the league. At the center of the MVP conversation is A’ja Wilson, the four-time MVP who continues to dominate on both ends of the floor.
But as new stars emerge and established players elevate their games, the race is far from a foregone conclusion. The biggest question heading into the season: who can dethrone Wilson? Could this finally be Caitlin Clark’s moment to take over the league and claim her first MVP award? Dig into our offshore sportsbook reviews to lock in the best MVP odds before the opening tip.
We’ll break it down with favorites, sleepers, and longshots for 2026 WNBA MVP.
Who Will Win WNBA MVP?
2026 WNBA MVP betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline.
- Caitlin Clark, Indiana Fever (+225)
- A’ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces (+300)
- Breanna Stewart, New York Liberty (+700)
- Napheesa Collier, Minnesota Lynx (+1200)
- Alyssa Thomas, Phoenix Mercury (+1200)
- Sabrina Ionescu, New York Liberty (+1400)
- Kelsey Plum, Los Angeles Sparks (+1800)
- Paige Bueckers, Dallas Wings (+2200)
- Allisha Gray, Atlanta Dream (+2500)
- Rhyne Howard, Atlanta Dream (+3300)
Favorites: Can Anyone Dethrone A’ja Wilson?
Caitlin Clark and A’ja Wilson headline the MVP race, with one representing the league’s future and the other continuing her dominant reign.
Caitlin Clark, Indiana Fever (+225)
Clark is my best bet to win the 2026 WNBA MVP. She’s already proven to be a prolific scorer with elite playmaking ability, capable of completely taking over games.
As the focal point of the Indiana Fever offense, Clark will have every opportunity to put up massive numbers night after night. If the Fever take a step forward in the standings, voters will reward her impact.
The narrative is building. Clark has both the talent and usage to capitalize. Even at (+225) odds, I’m down with this price.
A’ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces (+300)
What Wilson has accomplished is nothing short of spectacular. A four-time MVP – the first in WNBA history – she remains the most dominant two-way force in the league. And the Aces are paying her like it. Wilson signed a three-year, $5 million fully guaranteed supermax contract to stay in Las Vegas, the largest deal the WNBA has ever handed out.
Now can she bring home another MVP trophy? Voter fatigue is real, and the bar for her to win again is incredibly high. Unless she delivers another historically dominant season, it’s hard to see her taking home yet another MVP, especially with rising stars pushing for the spotlight.
If you want to target Wilson, wait to see if she gets off to a slow start. Then, pounce on the better price.
Sleepers: Viable Dark Horses for WNBA MVP
Breanna Stewart, Napheesa Collier, and Alyssa Thomas all present intriguing value as potential MVP contenders.
Breanna Stewart, New York Liberty (+700)
Stewart is always in the MVP conversation, but playing on a stacked Liberty roster could work against her.
With so many scoring options around her, New York doesn’t need to rely heavily on Stewart every night.
While her efficiency and impact remain elite, the lack of singular dominance in the box score could hurt her chances in a crowded field.
Napheesa Collier, Minnesota Lynx (+1200)
Collier offers strong value at +1200. She’s the clear centerpiece of the Minnesota Lynx and contributes across every statistical category. Her versatility, consistency, and leadership make her a legitimate MVP candidate, especially if Minnesota exceeds expectations.
If she can elevate the Lynx into a top-tier team, voters could rally behind her as a fresh face in the MVP race.
At (+1200) odds, Collier is one of the better values on the board.
Alyssa Thomas, Phoenix Mercury (+1200)
Thomas is one of the most unique players in the league, stuffing the stat sheet with points, rebounds, and assists on a nightly basis. Her all-around production makes her impossible to ignore.
If Phoenix can emerge as a contender, she’ll be firmly in play for this award.
Triple-double threats always stand out, while Thomas has the skill set to generate that kind of buzz.
Long Shots with Great Betting Value
Among the long shots, Paige Bueckers stands out as the one player who could dramatically outperform her odds.
Paige Bueckers, Dallas Wings (+2200)
Bueckers is the long shot I like to target. After an impressive rookie season, she’s poised to take a major leap in year two.
A polished scorer with elite shot creation, Bueckers has the offensive arsenal to become one of the league’s most dangerous players.
If she takes control of the Dallas Wings offense and leads them to a strong season, her +2200 odds could look like a steal.
WNBA MVP Betting Tips
- Target usage and role: Players who dominate possessions and offensive responsibility have the best chance to win MVP.
- Team success matters: MVP winners typically come from top teams in the standings.
- Watch narrative momentum: Media narratives and storylines can heavily influence voting.
- Avoid voter fatigue traps: Repeat winners often need historic seasons to win again.
- Look for value beyond favorites: Sleepers and long shots can offer better returns if they break out.
