There are two matchups in the NBA Playoffs tonight! The Knicks and Nuggets will look to advance to the next round. However, both teams will be on the road against teams looking to force a Game 7.
I’ve asked the AI Model for its best bets at the top sportsbooks for each game and shared them below.
Picks Summary
- Mikal Bridges Over 6.5 Rebounds + Assists (-118)Â
- Aaron Gordon Over 16.5 Points + Assists (-130)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons
Thursday, May 01, 2025 – 07:30 PM EDT at Little Caesars Arena
The AI Model believes Mikal Bridges will add 8.26 assists and rebounds in tonight’s game against the Pistons. Meanwhile, his prop is currently at 6.5, with the Over at -118. That’s a lot of value.
The Media Is Calling Out Mikal Bridges!
The Knicks traded a handful of first-round picks for Mikal Bridges in the offseason. While he’s been an effective piece of the Knicks, he hasn’t been as good as advertised.
The media is calling on Bridges to be more effective and become a bigger threat to the Knicks. However, the reality is he’s the fourth or fifth-best scoring option on the Knicks. That’s why I’d rather rely on him to add at least seven rebounds and assists in tonight’s game.
He’s hit this line in three of his first five games of this series and has added at least seven rebounds + assists in 70% of his last 20 games. He’s averaged more than five potential assists per game and has had more than six potential rebounds per game. Additionally, Bridges has seen at least 11 potential rebounds in his last two games against the Pistons.
Bridges will still get nearly 40 minutes in this game. He’s just not the scoring threat that everyone hoped he’d be. That said, he’ll do the little things and help the Knicks stick around against the Pistons. That’s about all you can ask from Bridges.
After all, the Pistons rank 16th in rebounds allowed to small forwards but rank average against power forwards. Bridges will play the four many times in this game for the Knicks, so he’ll take advantage of being the power forward against the Pistons. That’s where the Pistons struggle the most overall defensively.
The Pick
Ride Bridges to add at least seven rebounds + assists in tonight’s Game 6. The AI Model is on to something!
NBA Pick: Mikal Bridges Over 6.5 Rebounds + Assists (-118) at Caesars Sportsbook
Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Thursday, May 01, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT at Intuit Arena
Our AI Model believes Aaron Gordon will add 18.32 points + assists in tonight’s game against the Clippers. He’s been red-hot from the floor, yet his prop is at 16.5, with the Over at -130. You’ll want to consider this bet.
Aaron Gordon Has Been Denver’s X-Factor!
The Denver Nuggets are currently up 3-2 in this first-round series against the Clippers. Gordon has earned at least 17 points + assists in 52% of games this season. However, he’s hit this line in seven of his last ten games.
Most recently, Gordon added 25 points + assists and the game-winning dunk. Ultimately, the Clippers have never been bad at defending power forwards. They rank second in the NBA in points allowed to power forwards and 17th in assists. However, that hasn’t stopped Gordon. As a matter of fact, Gordon has added at least 17 points + assists in 56% of his last 18 head-to-head games against the Clippers.
He’s approaching 35 minutes and has averaged a usage percentage of more than 20%. Gordon has also earned six potential assists per game over the last ten games and has multiple games with 10+ potential assists. Additionally, he’s shot 51% from the floor over the last ten games and has attempted nearly 13 shots per game.
If he continues this up, the sky is the limit in Game 6 for Aaron Gordon.
The Pick
Take Aaron Gordon to go Over 16.5 points at -130 odds tonight.
NBA Pick: Aaron Gordon Over 16.5 Points + Assists (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
