The Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder will each look to even their series at two on the road in Game 4 matchups. Both teams are considered the favorites to make it into the NBA Finals. But a loss on the road for either team will easily hurt those chances. That said, I’ve asked the AI Model for its best two bets for today’s NBA Playoff slate. Here’s what it came up with.
The Picks
- Russell Westbrook Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-108)
- Evan Mobley Under 10.5 Rebounds (-115)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
Sunday, May 11, 2025 – 3:30 PM EDT at Ball Arena
The AI Model believes Russell Westbrook will earn 22.6 points + rebounds + assists against the Thunder in Game 4 of this second-round matchup. Meanwhile, his consensus line is at 18.5, with the Over at -118. That’s a steal.
Put Some Respect On Westbrook’s Name!
Russell Westbrook isn’t what he used to be. But he’s still an X-factor for the Nuggets.
Westbrook has recorded at least 19 points + rebounds + assists in four of his last five games. He’s also hit this line in 75% of games against the Thunder in his previous 16 head-to-head games.
Plus, Westbrook has nailed at least 19 points + rebounds + assists in 71% of games this season. The Thunder have been good at preventing point guards from scoring. However, the Thunder still ranks 25th in rebounds allowed to point guards.
In addition, Oklahoma City ranks in the bottom ten in free throws made and free throws allowed to point guards. They’ve also given up a high rate of second-chance points to point guards.
Over the last two games, Westbrook has seen at least seven potential assists per game. He’s also earned at least four rebound chances per game. Beyond that, he’s taken at least eight shots per game in each game of this series. Over the last ten games, Westbrook has hit 44.6% from the field. But those numbers are a bit skewed. He’s shot better than 45% in eight of those ten games. He just had two games where he didn’t perform so well.
Plus, the Thunder almost forced Westbrook to shoot threes in this series. He’s taken at least four in each game. Westbrook also saw ten free throw attempts in Game 2 of this series.
Our Pick
Russell Westbrook might not even be on the court when the game finishes. But he’ll make an impact, as he’s done in almost every game this season. Consider taking Westbrook to add at least 19 points + rebounds + assists. The analytics and stats like this play. But more importantly, the AI Model does, too.
Let’s cash in with this bet!
NBA Pick: Russell Westbrook Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-108) at Caesars Sportsbook
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers
Sunday, May 11, 2025 – 8:00 PM EDT at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
The AI Model likes Evan Mobley to record 7.912 rebounds in tonight’s game against the Pacers. Yet, you can find his total rebounds at 10.5, with the under at -115. There’s value written all over this bet.
It’s Still Hard To Trust Evan Mobley!
Evan Mobley has earned at least 11 rebounds in only 36% of games this season. He’s also added at least 11 rebounds in only 40% of his last 15 games against the Pacers.
Mobley had 24 rebound chances in Game 3 and earned 13 rebounds. However, over the last ten games, Mobley has only earned 14.9 rebound chances per game. He had no more than 13 rebound chances in five of his previous six games.
Ultimately, the Pacers aren’t great at limiting rebounds to power forwards. However, expecting 24 rebound chances every game would be silly. He needed 24 chances to earn 13 rebounds in Game 3. Therefore, he would still need close to 20 rebound chances to get to 11 rebounds.
I wouldn’t trust Evan Mobley tonight. The AI Model doesn’t, either. Let’s ride the Under with Mobley’s rebounds at -115.
NBA Pick: Evan Mobley Under 10.5 Rebounds (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
