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Derrick White Boston Celtics Eastern Conference Finals Massachusetts
Derrick White #9 of the Boston Celtics shoots over Doug McDermott #20 of the Indiana Pacers during the fourth quarter in Game Two of the Eastern Conference Finals at TD Garden on May 23, 2024 in Boston, Massachusetts. Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP

In the NBA Conference Finals, the Boston Celtics lead 2-0 in their series.

Before heading to our top-rated sportsbooks, we asked the AI Computer Model to help us pick a bet for Game 3. Here’s what it likes in the Celtics-Pacers matchup.

For more of our betting analysis, check out: 

NBA Pick

Boston Celtics vs. Indiana Pacers

Saturday, May 25, 2024 – 08:30 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Our AI Model has the total for tonight’s game at 219. However, Bet365 is currently carrying a 222.5 number. With more than three points of cushion, the under has the value per our AI Model.

Tyrese Haliburton’s Status in Jeopardy

Indiana typically dominates offensively at home. However, with Tyrese Haliburton listed as questionable with a hamstring injury, it’s hard to imagine the Pacers having the same success.

Haliburton ultimately runs the Pacers’ offense. He’s the engine. When he’s playing well, the whole team is playing well. When he’s not aggressive and struggling to find a rhythm, the whole team falls apart.

Therefore, the AI Model doesn’t believe the Pacers will have much success offensively. After all, Indiana has scored no more than 116.5 points per 100 possessions in either game. In addition, they’ve turned the ball over at a super high rate, which is already uncharacteristic of the Pacers.

Boston Can’t Score for Both Teams!

The Celtics have had no trouble scoring against the Pacers. Boston just scored 131.5 points per 100 possessions and shot an effective field goal percentage of 61.6% with 35% of offensive rebounds.

However, the Celtics are great at limiting fouls defensively and have forced enough turnovers over the first two games to keep the Pacers in check.

The turnovers will likely stay the same if Haliburton plays with an injury. If he doesn’t play, then the Pacers will be super out of sync. Either way, the Pacers don’t have an advantage heading into Game 3.

The Pick

Both teams have to score to hit the Over. According to the AI model, the Pacers are unlikely to do enough. Let’s back the Under 222.5.

NBA Pick: Under 222.5 (-110) at Bet365

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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