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Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks MLB Computer Pick: Kyle Gibson Tipping the Scale

Kyle Gibson St. Louis Cardinals California
Kyle Gibson #44 of the St. Louis Cardinals throws to the plate in the first inning during a game against San Diego Padres at PETCO Park on April 1, 2024 in San Diego, California. Brandon Sloter/Getty Images/AFP

Let’s examine today’s MLB computer picks and pinpoint some advantages for the day, featuring the most favorable betting odds provided by our top-rated sportsbooks.

MLB Pick


St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Saturday, April 13, 2024 – 08:10 PM ET at Chase Field


The AI Model has the Cardinals adding a 5-4 victory over the Diamondbacks in tonight’s matchup. Neither team has had outstanding starts to the season. Meanwhile, both teams will throw out medicare pitchers. However, one team still has to win. The Model believes it’ll be the Cardinals. I agree.

The Potential Slugfest Favors St. Louis

The Cardinals hung on for a 9-6 victory over the Diamondbacks in Game 1 of the series last night. Prepare for another game filled with runs between the Diamondbacks and Cardinals tonight. However, the Cardinals ultimately match up better.

The Cardinals will pitch Kyle Gibson. The veteran righty has allowed a .312 ISO and wOBA of .349. While that’s not good, he’s still managed to earn 51.3% of grounders and has limited line drives to 17.9%. Gibson’s stats should improve over time.

Meanwhile, Ryne Nelson will get the start for the Diamondbacks. Nelson has induced just 28% of grounders and has allowed 40% of fly balls while allowing a .250 ISO and wOBA of .391. He’s ultimately been awful against lefties, allowing a .429 ISO and wOBA of .447 to 18 lefties.

The Cardinals figure to have a balanced lineup of righties and lefties. Lefties like Brendan Donovan, Lars Nootbaar and Nolan Gorman should have major success against Nelson.

That’ll be the difference. Grab St. Louis on the moneyline in this one. I agree with the AI Model.

MLB Pick: Cardinals ML (-115) at Bet365

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

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