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Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Odds Analysis: It’s Official! Bout Will Be Sanctioned, Pro Fight

boxer Mike Tyson boxer Jake Paul
This combination of file pictures created on March 07, 2024, shows former US boxer Mike Tyson and boxer Jake Paul. Fayez Nureldine, Ian Maule / AFP

Jake Paul is still fighting, I know, what a drag… and his next bout could be his most publicized one so far, despite the negatives.

Is it truly possible for Mike Tyson to beat Jake Paul with a 31-year age gap? If you’re looking for the boxing odds for Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson, you’ve found the right place. Below, you’ll find all the information you need regarding the big fight, and you might be surprised at the current underdog pricing at top-rated sportsbooks.

Even more surprising were Tyson’s comments on The Sean Hannity Show, when he said that he was “scared to death” about this fight. However, he went on to explain how that is a good thing for his motivation. Not like it seems that he needs any extra fuel to take on this fight.

Motivation will surely be fundamental especially after it was announced on April 29th that this will be a sanctioned, professional fight by the Texas Department of Licensing and Regulations. This means that the result will go on their professional records.

The bout will be eight rounds of two minutes each and the fighters will use 14-ounce gloves. This will be the first time in two decades that Iron Mike has a professional fight and the 31-year gap between him and Paul will set a new record. Previously, Archie Moore (49) fought Mike DiBiase (25) in 1963. Fun fact, Moore won that fight with a third-round TKO.

Now, let’s go ahead and get into the weeds.

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Information

Paul

VS

TYSON

  • When: Saturday, July 20, 2024
  • Time: 09:00 PM ET
  • Where: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas
  • How to Watch: Netflix

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Odds

Currently, most of the top US betting sites have yet to put up odds for this exhibition fight, except for the UK branch of Bet365. However, DraftKings Sportsbook head oddsmaker, Johnny Avello, gave his early odds, back in March, as per USA Today:

  • Jake Paul: -360
  • Mike Tyson: +300

The fight is still far off and since Avello offered his thoughts, the market has certainly moved. So, for now, let’s check out the current odds provided for it by Bet365* (check our Bet365 Review), as of April 30. *UK branch

Sportsbook Jake Paul Mike Tyson Implied Win Probability
Bet365 -220 +170 61.9% / 43.3%
BetWay n/a n/a n/a
Caesars Sportsbook n/a n/a n/a

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Early Best Bet

Age is the primary reason why Paul is favored against a boxing legend like Mike Tyson. However, Tyson’s undeniable experience, highlighted by recent training footage, suggests a strong challenge. While the current odds at +170 may seem of little value, they appear to be the best option.

Still, as more markets become available, a great bet would be Tyson to win by KO, as that would offer a great plus-money value. Iron Mike’s KO ratio is impressive and although Paul has only lost one fight and via split decision, one of Tyson’s punches could end the night early, just as it used to do back in the 90’s. Don’t expect a first-round knockout which could be an interesting prop, should the Yes/No be available.

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Pick: Mike Tyson ML (+170) Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson: Tale of the Tape

Jake Paul

TALE

OF THE

TAPE

Mike Tyson

27AGE57
6′ 1″ / 185 cmHEIGHT5′ 10″ / 178 cm
76″ / 193 cm REACH70.9″ / 180 cm
Orthodox (R) STANCEOrthodox (R)
3 Wins CURRENT STREAK1 Split Draw
9-1-0 RECORD50-6-0
6BY KO44
67%KO%88%
0DRAWS0
46PRO ROUNDS215
2020DEBUT1985

Jake Paul Mike Tyson

Mike Tyson

When Tyson was at the top of his game, he was a formidable heavyweight fighter and a global icon of dread. However, he is almost 60 years old, Paul’s senior, and hasn’t fought professionally since 2005.

Whether this battle is a professional bout or just an exhibition is anybody’s guess, but the aforementioned factors have placed ‘Iron’ Mike as the betting underdog.

That said, for a fighter such as Mike Tyson, who will be two years shy of 60, a 42% implied probability isn’t too bad. The training footage of Tyson will undoubtedly give hope to his supporters and Paul’s haters, but are we grasping onto a time in the past that no longer exists?

Mike Tyson ML Odds: (+130) at Bet365

Mike Tyson's

Last 10 Fights

DATEMIKE TYSON'S ODDSOPPONENT RESULTVIA
November 28, 2020(-225)Roy Jones JrDrawSD
June 11, 2005(-800)Kevin McBride LossKO
July 30, 2004(-1400)Danny Williams LossKO
February 22, 2003(-900)Clifford Etienne WinKO
June 8, 2002(+175)Lennox Lewis LossKO
October 13, 2001(-2500)Brian Nielsen WinKO
October 20, 2000(-375)Andrew Golota No ContestNC
June 24, 2000(-2000)Lou Savarese WinTKO
January 29, 2000 (-1600)Julius Francis WinTKO
October 23, 1999(-1200)Orlin NorrisNo ContestNC

Jake Paul

Paul is taller than Tyson. He is 6 feet and 1 inch tall, and his arm span is 76 inches. Tyson’s height is 5 feet 10 inches and his arm span is 71 inches.

This may not be a challenge for Tyson, though, since almost all of his adversaries during his heyday were taller than him, with the exception of one. He had a remarkable record of 56 wins and just six losses.

Tyson’s age, however, is his primary problem heading into this contest and is likely the main factor driving the betting odds to side with Paul.

Jake Paul ML Odds: (-163) at Bet365

Jake Paul's

Last 10 Fights

DATEPAUL'S ODDSOPPONENTRESULTVIA
March 2, 2024(-2500)Ryan BourlandWinTKO
December 15, 2023(-800)Andre AugustWinKO
August 5, 2023(-300)Nate DiazWinUD
February 26, 2023(+120)Tommy FuryLossSD
October 29, 2022(-225)Anderson SilvaWinUD
December 18, 2021(-200)Tyron WoodleyWinKO
August 29, 2021(-160)Tyron WoodleyWinSD
April 17, 2021(-145)Ben Askren WinTKO
November 28, 2020(-185)Nate RobinsonWinKO
January 30, 2020(-250)AnEsonGibWinTKO

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Betting preview

In 2020, on the undercard of Mike Tyson vs. Roy Jones Jr., The Problem Child stunned the boxing world by knocking out former NBA star Nate Robinson. At that time, there was a distinct lack of precedent for a social media sensation with millions of followers becoming full-time boxers, but Paul stuck it out, and four years on, “The Problem Child” continues to give us problems.

Some still fault social media stars who have become boxers, but no one can deny the attention and pay-per-view sales for Paul’s fights.

Until this point, his battle last year with Tommy Fury was the most respectable and largest in his career. That’s due to the fact that Paul is facing off against Mike Tyson, a former world heavyweight champion and a man widely considered to be one of the greatest fighters of all time.

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