For the first time in a long time, the MLB has multiple night games on a Sunday. The Cubs-Cardinals matchup is set for 6:00 pm ET on ESPN. However, there are also two other games after that game is over. I’ve added best bets for some of the later games on the slate using the AI Model. Check it out below.
The PicksÂ
- George Kirby Under 5.5 Ks (+106)Â
- Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Hits (+143)Â
- Hayden Birdsong Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-174)Â
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners
Sunday, July 06, 2025 – 4:10 PM EDT at Wrigley Field
The AI Model suggests George Kirby will add 4.9 strikeouts tonight. However, his prop is at 5.5, with the under at +106 MLB odds. This is a fun plus-money bet to consider for today’s game.
Can Kirby Keep Up His Dominance?
George Kirby will take the hill for the Mariners tonight. The right-hander has struck out 32.7% of righties over the last 30 days. However, he only struck out 28.4% of righties this season and has also struggled against lefties throughout the season.
That said, the Pirates have only walked 6.3% of the time against righties. They’ll be aggressive against Kirby and look to put the ball in play. Additionally, the Pirates still have five batters who have hit an ISO of at least .152 against righties over the last month.
This will be an exciting battle, but the Pirates can certainly put the ball in play and limit strikeouts. Take Kirby to add below 5.5 strikeouts tonight against the Pirates.
MLB Pick: George Kirby Under 5.5 Ks (+106) at Caesars Sportsbook
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
Sunday, July 06, 2025 – 6:10 PM EDT at Wrigley Field
Our AI Model thinks Alec Burleson will add .502 hits tonight. However, his under .5 hits prop is at +143. That’s a +19.4% +EV bet! Grab this crazy value for tonight.
It’s Not Easy Hitting Matthew Boyd!
The Chicago Cubs will roll with Matthew Boyd tonight. He’s a left-handed pitcher who has limited his last 111 batters to a .087 ISO and wOBA of .222. Ultimately, he’s dominated lefty batters.
He’s faced 28 lefties over the last 30 days and has kept them to a .000 ISO and wOBA of .145 with 59.1% of ground balls induced during that time.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Alec Burleson of the Cardinals, who is also a lefty. Burleson has hit just 31% of hard contact, and as a result, he’s added a .259 BABIP.
Burleson has also struggled to hit fly balls against lefties over the last 30 days. I’ll trust Boyd against Burleson and take Burleson’s under in hits at +143. That’s really good value.
MLB Pick: Alec Burleson Under .5 Hits (+143) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics
Sunday, July 06, 2025 – 10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
Our AI Model predicts Hayden Birdsong will give up 3.85 hits tonight. Yet, his current prop is at 5.5 with the under at -174. That’s a large margin. Let’s take the under.
Birdsong Has A Good Matchup
Hayden Birdsong has not been perfect over the last 30 days. However, he’s facing an Athletics lineup that has six righties in it. Ultimately, Birdsong has limited his first 136 right-handed hitters to a .101 ISO and a wOBA of .281.
Plus, the righties in the Athletics’ lineup have struck out 27.7% of the time. As a matter of fact, the entire lineup has struck out 27.7% of the time over the last month, while walking only 6.3%.
Birdsong has also limited his last 57 righties to 21.1% of fly balls. Those righties have hit just a .270 BABIP, proving how effective Birdsong has been against righties.
Let’s roll with Birdsong to allow below 5.5 hits tonight.
MLB Pick: Hayden Birdsong Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-174) at Caesars Sportsbook
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