While there are some games during the day, most of today’s slate will be played at night. Therefore, I’ve added multiple best bets using our AI Model for tonight’s games. Let’s get right to it!
The Picks
- Jorge Soler Under 0.5 Hits (-103) via Caesars
- Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Total Bases (-130) via Caesars
- Michael Harris Under 0.5 Hits (+172)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Wednesday, July 09, 2025 – 9:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
The AI Model suggests Jorge Soler will earn .436 hits for the Angels tonight. Yet, his hits prop is at .5, with the under at -103 MLB odds. That’s a steal!
Jorge Soler Can’t Connect!
Jorge Soler of the Angels has hit a .054 ISO and wOBA of .195 with 46.3% of strikeouts against righties over the last 30 days. The right-handed slugger makes solid contact when he meets the ball with the barrel, but the high strikeouts don’t help.
In addition, he’s set to face Kumar Rocker of the Rangers, who has struck out 23.7% of righties over the last 30 days.
Rocker has also limited righties to a .147 ISO and wOBA of .294 with 53.8% of ground balls during that time.
Right now, Soler has a .278 BABIP against righties over the last 30 days. Even when he makes good contact, it hasn’t helped him earn better results.
Consider taking Jorge Soler to add below .5 hits in tonight’s game against the Rangers.
MLB Pick: Jorge Soler Under 0.5 Hits (-103) at Caesars Sportsbook
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
Wednesday, July 09, 2025 – 9:40 PM EDT at Petco Park
Our AI Model thinks Jackson Merrill will add .689 total bases. However, his total bases prop is sitting at 1.5, with the under at just -130. This is a 17.7% +EV bet!
Low Barrel Percentage Hasn’t Helped Jackson Merrill
The Padres are expected to face Brandon Pfaadt of the Diamondbacks tonight. Pfaadt has limited his last 57 lefties to 47.4% of ground balls with only 23.7% of fly balls. He’s not earning a high strikeout rate, but it’s improved over the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, he’ll battle Jackson Merrill, who has hit a .089 ISO and wOBA of .262 with 29.6% of strikeouts. He’s struggled the most out of any Padres hitter in the middle of the lineup against righties. It’s likely because he’s hit just a 6.7% barrel percentage against righties. That’s given him just a .267 BABIP against righties.
Let’s fade Jackson Merril and take him to go under 1.5 total bases. Thank the AI Model for this one!
MLB Pick: Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Total Bases (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook
Atlanta Braves vs. Athletics
Wednesday, July 09, 2025 – 10:05 PM EDT at Sutter Health Park
Our AI Model predicts Michael Harris will finish with .497 hits. Meanwhile, his total hits prop is at 0.5, with the under priced at +172. This is another significant +EV bet that you’ll want to consider.
Michael Harris Has Struggled
The bottom portion of the Atlanta batting order has struggled against righties. Michael Harris is one of the culprits.
The lefty has hit a .104 ISO and wOBA of .144 with 24.6% of strikeouts against righties over the last 30 days. He’s also hit more than 65% of grounders and has added just 9.6% of line drives against righties during that time.
With those numbers, he’s added just a .120 BABIP over his last 69 at-bats against righties.
Meanwhile, he’ll battle Mitch Spence of the Athletics. Spence has limited walks to 4.7% and has allowed just 17.8% of line drives to his last 56 lefties. Spence has struggled against lefties in the previous 30 days, but overall, he’s earned 48.5% of ground balls and has earned nearly 13% of swinging strikes this season against lefties. He should be fine against Harris.
Let’s back Harris to add below .5 hits in tonight’s ball game.
MLB Pick: Michael Harris Under 0.5 Hits (+172) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
