There are plenty of betting options tonight! With only eight games on the slate, I asked the AI Model for its best bets for the evening and listed them below. Let’s have a strong start to the week!
The Picks
- Ryan O’Hearn Under .5 Hits (+126)
- Mark Canha Under .5 Hits (-121)
- Pavin Smith Under .5 Hits (+133)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers
Monday, June 30, 2025 – 08:05 PM EDT at Globe Life Field
Our AI Model expects Ryan O’Hearn to add .543 hits in tonight’s game. Yet, his prop is at .5, but the under is currently at +126. We love a good plus-money prop bet!
Lefty on Lefty Is Never a Good Matchup for O’Hearn!
Ryan O’Hearn has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .083 with 41.2% of strikeouts against lefties over the last month.
He’s a promising power hitter, but he can’t hit lefties.
Tonight, he’ll battle Patrick Corbin of the Rangers, who is a lefty. In the last 30 days, Corbin has limited his last 39 lefties to a .108 ISO and wOBA of .213. Those lefties have hit 59.4% of ground balls and only 12.5% of fly balls against him this season.
O’Hearn looks absolutely horrible on paper. In his last 17 at-bats, he hasn’t gotten on base once when he’s put the ball in play. He’s also hit more than 62% of grounders, which is what Corbin has done well at over the last 30 days against lefties.
We’re sticking with the AI Model and taking Ryan O’Hearn to go under .5 hits.
MLB Pick: Ryan O’Hearn Under .5 Hits (+126) at Caesars Sportsbook
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
Monday, June 30, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park
The AI Model thinks Mark Canha will earn .432 hits tonight. His prop is also at .5, but the under is currently just -121. That’s a steal when using the AI Model.
Should Mark Canha Still Be In The Big Leagues?
Mark Canha and the Royals are set to face George Kirby of the Seattle Mariners tonight.
Kirby has limited his last 46 righties to a .091 ISO and wOBA of .146. Beyond that, he’s struck out 30.4% of righties and has allowed only 2.2% of walks against righties in the last month.
On the other hand, Mark Canha has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .158 against his last ten righties. He’s also struck out in three of those ten at-bats.
Canha doesn’t have a good matchup against Kirby at all. Instead, Canha has hit a .167 BABIP against righties and hasn’t hit a single ball with hard contact or using the barrel against righties over the last 30 days.
Fade Mark Canha and take his under at a reasonable -121 price.
MLB Pick: Mark Canha Under .5 Hits (-121) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, June 30, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
Our AI Model predicts Pavin Smith will record .333 hits tonight. That said, you can find his under .5 hits at +133 odds. According to the AI Model, that’s a 28.8% expected value play.
Pavin Smith Has Struck Out A Lot Against Righties!
Pavin Smith will likely bat third in tonight’s lineup for the Diamondbacks. However, he’s in line to face Logan Webb of the Giants, who has limited his last 74 lefties to a .111 ISO and wOBA of .253.
In addition, Logan Webb has held those same lefties to 54.7% of ground balls and only 15.1% of fly balls. He’s also walked them just 2.7% of the time.
Ultimately, Webb has put up a Cy Young-like season. He’s pitched incredibly well, earning 25.7% of strikeouts over the last month against lefties.
Meanwhile, Pavin Smith has hit a .259 ISO and wOBA of .336. But he’s also struck out 31.4% of the time. It’s hard enough to hit for power against Webb, but it’s more likely Smith won’t be able to make much contact against Webb.
Let’s rock with Pavin Smith to go under .5 hits.
MLB Pick: Pavin Smith Under .5 Hits (+133) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
