The AI Model has been dominating lately! Let’s add some more plays using the AI Model for tonight’s 11-game slate!
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Red Sox vs. Tigers and Marlins vs. Cubs games!
Picks Summary:
- Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Total Bases (-184) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Cal Raleigh Over .5 Total Bases (-145) at Bet365
- LaMonte Wade Under .5 Total Bases (+110) at Bet36
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Diego Padres
Monday, May 12, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at Petco Park
The AI Model projects Luis Arraez will add .803 total bases tonight. However, his consensus prop is stuck at 1.5 total bases with the under at -184. Even at -184, there’s a lot of value in taking Arraez to go under.
Luis Arraez Isn’t Good Against Lefties
Luis Arraez is known as one of the best contact hitters in baseball. However, over the last month, he’s hit a .115 ISO and wOBA of .227 against lefties.
Arraez has also added just 7.7% of hard contact against lefties and has earned a 0% barrel percentage with a .160 BABIP. His contact is not resulting in hits.
Tonight, he’ll take on Yusei Kikuchi of the Angels. He’s a left-handed thrower who has limited lefties to a .000 ISO and wOBA of .195 this season.
Lefties have hit 56.2% of ground balls and only 6.2% of line drives. He’s shut them down with ease this year. Many teams don’t even bother putting lefties in the lineup against Kikuchi. That’s how dominant he’s been.
Therefore, you’ll want to think about fading Arraez tonight.
The Pick
I’m backing the Under 1.5 total bases and trusting the AI Model with this one. There’s a lot of value in facing Arraez tonight.
MLB Pick: Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Total Bases (-184) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners
Monday, May 12, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park
The AI Model thinks Cal Raleigh will earn .95 total bases for the Mariners tonight. With his total bases prop at .5, the over makes the most sense at -145 odds.
Clarke Schmidt Is Expected To Start!
The Yankees will likely give Clarke Schmidt another start tonight. The right-hander has been awful against lefties since the beginning of the season.
He’s allowed a .318 ISO and wOBA of .443 with only 22.6% of strikeouts against lefties this season. He’s also given up 27.3% of line drives with 39.4% of ground balls this season.
Plus, Schmidt has allowed 51.5% of hard contact to lefties and has added below 10% of swinging strikes against lefties.
He’ll take on Cal Raleigh of the Mariners, who is a switch-hitter. He’ll bat from the left side against Schmidt, where he’s hit a .410 ISO and wOBA of .485 against his last 78 righties. This is a monster matchup for Raleigh.
The Pick
Take Raleigh to add at least one total base at -145.
MLB Pick: Cal Raleigh Over .5 Total Bases (-145) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
Monday, May 12, 2025 – 09:45 PM EDT at Oracle Park
Our AI Model predicts LaMonte Wade of the Giants will earn .553 hits. While his hits prop is at .5, the odds are at +110 for the Under. With plus-money odds, the under makes the most sense.
LaMonte Wade Is Struggling!
LaMonte Wade and the Giants will battle Merrill Kelly of the Diamondbacks tonight. Kelly is a right-handed pitcher who has allowed just a .287 wOBA of .287 to 179 batters this season.
Additionally, he’s limited lefties to a .302 wOBA and has allowed only 22.4% of line drives. Ultimately, Kelly isn’t a big strikeout thrower. However, over the last 30 days, he’s struck out 27.4% of lefties, while allowing a .133 ISO and wOBA of .230 to his last 62 lefties.
He’s performed way better against lefties lately.
Meanwhile, LaMonte Wade, a lefty for the Giants, has hit a .049 ISO and wOBA of .245 over the last month. He’s hit only 20.4% of line drives and just 24.5% of hard contact with a 2% barrel percentage.
That won’t get the job done against Kelly.
The Pick
Let’s ride with the AI Model and take Wade to earn under .5 total bases.
MLB Pick: LaMonte Wade Under .5 Total Bases (+110) at Bet365
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