There are plenty of appealing matchups on today’s MLB slate. Therefore, I reviewed all 15 games and identified the best bets for a few of them using the AI Model. Let’s have a day!
The Picks
- Mike Trout Under .5 Runs (-103) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Total Bases (-160) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Matt Wallner Under 1.5 Total Bases (-160) at Bet365
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Angels
Sunday, June 29, 2025 – 04:07 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
Our AI Model believes Mike Trout will finish with .425 runs tonight. Yet, his prop is at .5, with the under at just -103. That’s a steal according to our model.
Is Mike Trout Still The GOAT?
Mike Trout has performed poorly against lefties over the last 30 days. The Angels’ outfielder has hit a .120 ISO and wOBA of .278 with 38.5% of strikeouts and only 3.8% of walks.
He’s not even getting on base much against lefties.
That said, he’ll take on Mitchell Parker, who has limited his last 93 righties to 5.4% of walks. Parker has allowed a .230 ISO, but overall this season, he’s given up a .307 wOBA to righties.
Parker isn’t a high-strikeout pitcher, but he can certainly fan Trout today.
If Trout doesn’t get on base, he can’t score. Take the Under for Mike Trout in the run category.
MLB Pick: Mike Trout Under .5 Runs (-103) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Sunday, June 29, 2025 – 04:10 PM EDT at Chase Field
The AI Model thinks Otto Lopez will add .576 total bases. Yet, his total bases prop is at 1.5, with the under at -160. This is another massive edge. The expected value on this play, according to our AI Model, is up to +19.1%.
Otto Lopez Could Be Sent Down Any Minute!
The Marlins have enjoyed some success from Otto Lopez earlier this season. However, he’s been absolutely dreadful against lefties over the last 30 days.
Lopez has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .172 with 22.9% of strikeouts and 2.9% of walks over the last month against lefties.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Eduardo Rodriguez of the Diamondbacks, who has limited his last 80 righties to a .137 ISO and wOBA of .312. Rodriguez has limited line drives to 19.2% against righties in the last month and has also struck out 26.2% of righties in that time frame.
In addition, Lopez has hit 50% of grounders and only 19.2% of fly balls against lefties in the last month. He’s also hit a BABIP of .231 and has a 0% barrel percentage during that time.
That won’t get the job done.
I’m on Lopez to earn below 1.5 total bases thanks to the AI Model.
MLB Pick: Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Total Bases (-160) at Caesars Sportsbook
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
Sunday, June 29, 2025 – 7:10 PM ET at Comerica Park
Our AI Model predicts Matt Wallner will conclude tonight with .576 hits. However, his total bases prop is at 1.5, with the Under currently sitting at -160 at Bet365. This is another play with a 19.1% edge.
Nobody Can Hit Skubal!
The Detroit Tigers will pitch their former Cy Young winner, Tarik Skubal. The left-hander has limited his last 25 lefties to a .040 ISO and wOBA of .193. He’s also added 44.4% of ground balls with only 22.2% of line drives and fly balls over the last month against lefties.
He’ll face Matt Wallner of the Twins, who will likely bat 8th in the order. Waller has shown off some power against lefties in his career, but he’s also struck out 30.8% of the time over the last month. In addition, Wallner has earned only 12.5% of fly balls and has hit a 0% barrel percentage against lefties in the last 30 days. That’s amounted to a .188 BABIP over the previous 30 days against lefties.
Let’s fade Waller and take his Under 1.5 total bases at -160.
MLB Pick: Matt Wallner Under 1.5 Total Bases (-160) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
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