Today’s slate of MLB games promises to keep us busy throughout the evening.
You’ve surely heard the baseball talking-heads claim over and over that star pitchers like Clayton Kershaw and Justin Verlander are washed-up. Tonight, both starting pitchers get a chance to prove their continual worth. Verlander, in fact, might just make today’s list of MLB best bets.
MLB Best Props Today
My favorite MLB props today involve the venerable Justin Verlander helping San Francisco hold Chicago’s lineup under its posted team total, Michael Lorenzen locking down the White Sox over the course of a long outing in which Andrew Benintendi, even more than his teammates, will struggle against Lorenzen and Royals relievers.
Shop for the Best MLB Prop Odds
If you’re looking to make the most of tonight’s MLB action, now is the time to place your bets. Our top pick for today is Justin Verlander to help the Cubs hold the team total under, a play that’s flying under the radar but backed by strong performance metrics.
Sports betting is all about timing, and the best lines won’t last forever. By opening a new sportsbook account or logging into your existing one, you can secure the most favorable odds before they shift. So don’t wait and take advantage of today’s MLB best bets and maximize your potential return.
Cubs Team Total Under 4.5 (-133) at Caesars
Bettors dislike Justin Verlander today because he allowed a lot of runs in his last start. However, his 1.96 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) shows that he actually performed very well. It is unlikely that he’ll get unlucky twice in a row, so expect him to bounce back.
Before his last start, Verlander had allowed zero runs in seven innings, further indicating that he carries strong form into this matchup. No matter the spot, the Cubs lineup is a reliable victim when he’s on the mound. Collectively, the Cubs hit .176 and slugged .216 against him. The Giants, with their highly-ranked bullpen, will seal the deal for our bet.
Royals vs. Cubs Player Props
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Bases (+135) at Caesars
I dislike both Andrew Benintendi and Luis Robert today, but I find the Benintendi option more alluring with the odds at +135.
Benintendi is due for a down game today after getting a hit in each of his last two games. See his games on August 17 and August 11 to understand what I mean: he regularly disappoints after a two-game hitting streak.
His outlook against Michael Lorenzen is especially bad because Lorenzen has a solid track record against him, holding him to a .077 slugging rate in 13 at-bats.
Michael Lorenzen Over 15.5 Outs (+130) at Caesars
Michael Lorenzen failed to last long in his previous game only because he had bad luck. His 1.73 FIP shows that he actually performed very well.
In his penultimate start, he was starting for the first time in over a month and therefore failed to last long. He is due for a long outing tonight, as when he pitched seven shutout innings in his third-to-last start.
His outlook is great against a White Sox lineup that collectively bats .130 and slugs .204 against him. The White Sox are playing unusually well right now. Let’s not forget how bad they’ve been all year – it’d be ridiculous for this success to continue. Lorenzen will make the success stop.
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