After a slow night of college hoops yesterday, we’ve got a loaded slate today! Here are three later games that, according to AI Model, you should consider tonight at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Duke -26.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Gonzaga/Davidson Over 152.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Mississippi State -8 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Seattle Redhawks vs. Duke Blue Devils
Friday, November 29, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Cameron Indoor Stadium
The AI Model believes the Duke Blue Devils will earn an 84-57 win against Seattle. With Duke at -26.5, the Blue Devils should be able to cover according to our AI Model.
Good Luck, Seattle
It’s never easy for a low-tier mid-major program to come into Cameron Indoor Stadium and shoot well. Especially when Duke is currently ranked as the No. 1 defense in college basketball.
Seattle has only hit 47.6% from inside the arc and has turned the ball over 18.6% of the time. Look for those trends to continue in tonight’s game against Duke. After all, Duke has earned 21% of turnovers and has held teams to 28.4% from three and 42.9% from inside the arc.
The Blue Devils have also been unlucky, with teams hitting foul shots. That’ll likely change tonight, too.
Seattle Won’t Get Stops
The Seattle Redhawks have allowed teams to shoot a 59% effective field goal percentage. Opponents have hit 63.1% from inside and 35.5% from inside the arc.
Ultimately, Duke should get whatever they want on offense throughout this game. To be fair, Seattle is good on the defensive glass, but a game against Duke certainly won’t help their stats.
The Pick
Let’s ride with Duke at -26.5 in tonight’s matchup.
NCAAB Pick: Duke -26.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Davidson Wildcats
Friday, November 29, 2024 – 08:30 PM ET at Imperial Arena
The AI Model likes Gonzaga and Davidson to combine for 153 points. At Bet365, you can find the Over at 152.5. Therefore, don’t be afraid to take over 152.5.
Davidson’s Defense-Less
The Davidson defense has been miserable since the beginning of the year. Davidson has watched teams shoot 41.3% from downtown. In addition, they’ve added just 15.1% of turnovers and have allowed a 52.9% effective field goal percentage.
There’s no reason why the No. 2 offense in the nation can’t succeed against Davidson. After all, Gonzaga has hit a 54.9% effective field goal percentage and has drained 35.2% from deep and 56.2% from inside the arc.
Davidson Will Battle On Offense
While the Davidson defense is poor, the offense is alright. Davidson has shot 35.5% from three and 54.9% from inside the arc.
Don’t expect the Wildcats to earn a lot of offensive rebounds. However, with Gonzaga allowing 50% from inside, Davidson should at least be effective around the rim and inside the arc.
The Pick
Consider the Over 152.5. Gonzaga could score around 90 themselves.
NCAAB Pick: Gonzaga/Davidson Over 152.5 (-110) at Bet365
Butler Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Friday, November 29, 2024 – 09:30 PM ET at Mullett Arena
The AI Model believes Mississippi State will earn a 10-point win over Butler in the Battle 4 Atlantis 5th place game. However, Miss State is only -8 against the spread.
Can Butler Sustain Defensive Success?
The Butler Bulldogs have held teams to 24.4% from three and 41.9% from inside the arc, which is insane on defense. However, keeping these stats against Mississippi State will be hard.
For one, Butler doesn’t force many turnovers, and Miss State is very good at limiting turnovers. Miss State should get a lot of shot attempts. Even if the shooting percentage is poor, the point total should still be high.
Butler Isn’t Good Inside
There are two areas where Butler will lose this game:
- The offensive glass.
- The turnover battle.
Butler has shot just 50.3% from inside the arc this season. They’ve also turned the ball over 20.7% of the time. Plus, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have held teams to 46.9% from inside the arc and have earned 22.6% of turnovers.
The Pick
Grab Mississippi State at -8.
NCAAB Pick: Mississippi State -8 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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