One of the most popular markets when it comes to season-long NFL betting is the MVP market. The MVP is a fun race to prognosticate because it combines individual excellence with team success.
In a close race between two players who have nearly identical statistics, the team’s success will usually be the deciding factor. So not only are we handicapping the players, we are handicapping the prospects for each team’s upcoming season.
With that in mind, let’s take a look at the numbers to find the NFL MVP odds to find a winning pick.
2026 NFL MVP Odds
| Player | Opening Odds | Current Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson – Ravens | +450 | +500 |
| Josh Allen – Bills | +600 | +650 |
| Joe Burrow – Bengals | +750 | +600 |
| Patrick Mahomes – Chiefs | +700 | +850 |
| Jayden Daniels – Commanders | +1100 | +1000 |
NFL MVP: Players to Watch
Lamar Jackson (+525)
Let’s face it, Lamar Jackson should have won the award last season. He had better statistics than in his previous year’s MVP campaign, and he was clearly the best quarterback in football.
I believe the voters gave the award to Josh Allen because he had never won it before and they wanted it on record that he was one of the top quarterbacks of the era. However, Jackson was deserving of the award and is deserving to be the favorite once again.
Joe Burrow (+550)
Joe Burrow had the statistics to be the MVP last season. However, his Cincinnati Bengals team failed to make the playoffs.
Joe Burrow is on one of the worst organizations in the NFL. Even though he might put up monster stats once again, with a 9-8 record, will it be good enough to wrest the award from players who have excellent statistics on first-place teams? That is a concern in making the bet for Burrow, although individually, he probably does deserve it.
Burrow is taking a moribund franchise out of irrelevance single-handedly on his own. Without Joe Burrow, the Cincinnati Bengals would be the laughing stock of the league.
Patrick Mahomes (+650)
Patrick Mahomes is an interesting bet because, in a tiebreak situation, he is considered to be the best quarterback in the league and will get the benefit of the doubt if it is a close call.
However, recently, the Chiefs have switched to a defensive-oriented style of football, and Mahomes’ statistics have greatly dropped. This doesn’t matter to the team however, because the Chiefs continue to rack up wins and make Super Bowl appearances.
I don’t know if the Chiefs’ offense will ever be what it once was, so at this point, I would pass on a bet on Patrick Mahomes.
Josh Allen (+700)
Josh Allen had an excellent season last year and won his first MVP of his career. However, many felt he didn’t deserve it, and the award should have gone to Lamar Jackson.
Since he has already won the award once, he will have to be head and shoulders above the field to win it again, especially with the criticism surrounding his selection last season. Because of this, I would stay away from Josh Allen unless you can get a better price later during the year.
Jayden Daniels (+1000)
The main concern for Jayden Daniels is how good will the Washington team be.
Yes, the team did make the NFC Conference Championship game last season. However, the team was the beneficiary of one of the easiest schedules in the league.
After last season’s breakout year, the Commanders’ schedule will be much tougher. They won a bunch of close games last season, and there could be a little bit of regression when it comes to their wind total.
Because of this, I would stay away from Jayden Daniels at this price.
Log On and Place These Bets Now
During the NFL season, many things can change.
An injury to a top contender, such as Lamar Jackson, will lower the price of every other top candidate within the NFL MVP odds. Prices change constantly in the world of sports betting, and market timing is key.
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