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2025-26 NFL MVP Odds & Picks

The cover for this NFL MVP odds article shows quarterback Matthew Stafford #9 of the Los Angeles Rams rushing with the the ball against the Baltimore Ravens
M&T Bank Stadium on October 12, 2025 in Baltimore, Maryland. Patrick Smith/Getty Images/AFP

We’re back with our monthly report on the current NFL MVP odds! We’re heading into Week 13 of the NFL season, and it’s Matthew Stafford who is at the top of the odds board to win the MVP.

Yes, the 37-year-old Super Bowl Champion is currently the odds-on favorite to win the award after he helped the Rams escape the Seahawks in Week 12.

A month ago, he was 6th when looking at the odds. But now he’s leaped to the front of the pack, in front of some of the biggest names like Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, and Jalen Hurts.

Stafford has never won the MVP award in his career. So can he sustain another month of this success to win the MVP award this season? Let’s take a look at the NFL MVP odds below.

2025-26 NFL MVP Players to Watch

Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson were the heavy favorites entering the season. But with Jackson out with an injury, Mahomes and the Chiefs at 3-3, and Allen being a loser of two straight games, the market is wide open for another name to potentially win the award.

Take a look at the current NFL MVP odds board right now.

PositionPlayerTeamOdds
1Matthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams+135
2Drake MayeNew England Patriots+175
3Josh AllenBuffalo Bills+450
4Jonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts+900
5Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs+2000
6Jalen HurtsPhiladelphia Eagles+4000

Matthew Stafford (+135)

It’s hard to believe a player like Matthew Stafford has never won an MVP before. Then again, during his time in Detroit, he struggled to win many games due to the lack of depth around him.

Either way, he’s thrown for 2,557 yards this season. He’s also added 27 passing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Stafford has had many seasons with a high turnover rate. This year, he’s completely flipped the switch.

He currently has a 112.7 QBR, which is the highest ever in a regular season. He’s on pace for the best season of his career. Ultimately, voters love a feel-good story. Voting Stafford as the MVP is literally that.

Drake Maye (+175)

Drake Maye currently leads the NFL in passing yards with 2,836. The second-year quarterback has also thrown 20 touchdowns with only five interceptions. He’s also got a QBR of 73.4.

The pushback is that New England has had an easy schedule. But the reality is that the schedule is still fairly easy down the stretch. He’s completed nearly 72% of his passes and has helped give the Patriots some excitement since Tom Brady left them for the Buccaneers.

Maye can certainly keep this play up with the rest of the schedule looking just as easy.

Josh Allen (+450)

Josh Allen is super dynamic. However, he’s having a pretty below-average season per his standards.

He’s had his moments, but he’s also thrown seven interceptions and has lost multiple games as a favorite this season. His QBR is currently 62.6, which is the worst it’s been since he finished with a 49.4 QBR in 2019 in his second season.

Allen is an elite quarterback and will do enough to get the Bills into the playoffs. But he’s not performing nearly as well as he has in the past. I’d stay away from Allen.

Is Stafford The Play?

Browse all of the player futures at OddsTrader.

Ultimately, Matthew Stafford is the favorite to win the NFL MVP Award. If he continues this kind of play down the line, he’s going to win the award. Again, voters love storylines. A 37-year-old veteran quarterback winning the MVP is just that.

Drake Maye will have his chances down the line. Stafford might not. There were rumors that Stafford was thinking of retiring before this season even began. Just think that one through!

At +135, the value is slight. But it’s still plus-money. Consider Stafford to win the MVP and bet it at Caesars today.

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*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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