There are plenty of live NFL picks to make with a great schedule to come. We’ve gone through NFL picks Week 7 to find our favorite plays for spreads and totals. Football predictions have been tough in this year of party, but we think we’ve identified some real mismatches this Sunday.
NFL Picks Week 7 At a Glance
Week 5 was one of the craziest in NFL history as underdogs were 9-5 SU and there were 6 double-digit comeback wins. That’s why we’re expecting Week 6 to be a nice bounce-back week for favorites, assuming this season is not on pace for a record amount of parity and weekly shockers.
But we saw the Rams lose as a heavy favorite at home to the injured 49ers, the Chargers lost for the 2nd week in a row to the Commanders, and the Seahawks lost a 38-35 home shootout with Tampa Bay.
The theme of our Week 6 picks is for those teams to correct things this week and get big road wins.
Tennessee Titans vs. New England Patriots (Titans +7)
This game is more intriguing than its spread or the record of the Titans (1-5) because of the timing of the team’s firing of coach Brian Callahan this week.
Were the Titans embarrassed to potentially watch him lose by a huge margin to the coach they fired (Mike Vrabel) to hire him in 2024? That would be pretty bad.
But that’s also why we think Vrabel will be out for blood as the Titans did him wrong, and it really started in 2022 with that asinine trade of A.J. Brown to Philadelphia. Vrabel comes in with Drake Maye playing like an MVP-caliber quarterback while No. 1 rookie Cam Ward looks like leading the league in sacks taken.
The Patriots aren’t playing elite defense or running the ball great, so it’s not going to be too big of a blowout, most likely.
However, Vrabel will run up the score as much as he can, and the Titans might have the worst roster in the NFL. Interim coach Mike McCoy should be an improvement over Callahan, but the Titans go down against the spread in this one and we’d even consider alternate lines up to Patriots -9.5.
Expert Pick: Patriots -7 (-110) at BetMGM
Carolina Panthers vs. New York Jets (Jets +1.5)
The Jets (0-6) are the only NFL team still looking for a win after last week’s ugly 13-11 loss in London to Denver, where Justin Fields took 9 sacks. The Panthers (3-3) are flying high behind running back Rico Dowdle after a pair of high-scoring wins over Miami and Dallas.
The Jets opened as a 1.5-point favorite in this game, but they are now a 1.5-point home underdog. The Jets have blown 3 4th-quarter leads this year, and they have 9 such games going back to 2024 (most in NFL).
But we’re going to point out that Fields is 0-26 when his opponent scores more than 20 points.
With Carolina likely to struggle more on the road after the Jets found some defensive success last week, we believe the Jets have upset potential to get that elusive win, and it’ll likely have to come with the Panthers scoring under 20 points.
That’s why our favorite bet is the under 42.5 points. Winning ugly is how you win with Fields as your quarterback.
Expert Pick: Under 42.5 (-115) at BetMGM
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts (Chargers -1.5)
We’re into Week 7, and Daniel Jones is still No. 1 in QBR and has the Colts as the most efficient offense in the league.
Having Jonathan Taylor helps too, but the Colts have been so consistent. Their only loss was in SoFi Stadium to the Rams, and that’s where they return to face the Chargers, who needed a late drive to beat Miami in a 29-27 game.
The Colts need to show they can beat a contender, but they also watched wideout Adonai Mitchell cost them 2 touchdowns against the Rams with terrible mistakes. This offense is legit, and the Chargers don’t look as strong defensively as they did in 2024 for Jim Harbaugh.
Justin Herbert is no stranger to shootouts, and his receiving group is good and deep enough to give him advantages against the Colts. Both teams should score over 20 points, and someone might even get to 30. That’s why we’re going with the over 48.5 points as our top pick.
Expert Pick: Over 48.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM
What We’ve Covered and Next Steps
For our NFL picks Week 7, we’re most looking forward to the matchup between the Colts and Chargers, where we like the over 48.5 points to hit.
However, our top recommended pick is for the Patriots to cover the spread in Tennessee and win by more than a touchdown. We also like the Jets to keep the score down with the Panthers.
Timing is everything in sports betting. If you want to get the best lines and odds for these NFL Week 7 games, you should join a sportsbook today and download the free-to-use OddsTrader App (available for Android and iOS) to find those best bets.
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More Expert Picks
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