There will only be one more full slate of games on a Saturday after today. Let’s enjoy it while we can at the top-rated sportsbooks. Here’s one of three bets via the AI Model for tonight’s MLB slate.
MLB Pick
- Over 8 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres
Saturday, September 21, 2024 – 08:40 PM ET at Petco Park
Our AI Model likes the Padres and White Sox to combine for 8.7 runs. There’s some value with the Over 8, knowing the Model believes we’ll get nearly nine runs in the game. Let’s back the Over in this one.
Padres Can Crush Flexen
Chris Flexen is scheduled to take the mound for the White Sox tonight. The righty has been an innings eater but nothing more. He’s allowed a .193 ISO and wOBA of .358 against 658 batters this season. That’s a significant sample size with numbers that just aren’t good enough.
He’ll take on a Padres lineup that has hit a .205 ISO and wOBA of .360 over the last 30 days against righties. The projected lineup has also struck out below 17% of the time.
White Sox Just Need To Scatch Out A Couple
The White Sox have been the worst team in the MLB. But they can still add a couple of runs against veteran righty Martin Perez.
Perez doesn’t throw hard and typically relies on balls in play. When a team puts the ball in play, chances are good things will happen. After all, Perez has only struck out 14.3% of batters and has allowed more than 40% of hard contact.
The Pick
This game should get over as long as the White Sox add a couple of runs. I’m with the AI Model here. Don’t even be surprised if the Padres score enough runs on their own to hit the Over.
MLB Pick: Over 8 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
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