We’ve got three exciting WNBA matchups on the horizon tonight. I’ve added two best bets for the later games with the best betting odds we could find at the sportsbooks. Let’s close out the weekend strong!
The Picks
- Chelsea Gray Over 12.5 Points (+100)
- Angel Reese Under 14.5 Points (-114)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun
Sunday, July 06, 2025 – 4:00 PM EDT at Mohegan Sun Arena
The Las Vegas Aces are just 8-9 on the season. They’ve really performed below expectations this season. However, they’ve already defeated the Sun twice by hefty margins this season and will likely do that again tonight.
Can Chelsea Gray Turn Things Around?
The Las Vegas Aces need to win tonight to get back to .500. They’ve been super inconsistent offensively. A’ja Wilson has done great, but the rest of the supporting cast has not.
Chelsea Gray, for example, finished with two points in 23 minutes against the Indiana Fever on Thursday. She’s now scored no more than nine points in back-to-back games.
That’s unheard of for Gray.
Gray has also had six games in her last ten where she’s scored at least 13 points. She’s also hit this line in 53% of games this season. Additionally, the last time Gray faced the Sun, she added 15 points back on June 25.
Gray’s Advantage
At the end of the day, the Sun ranks 13th in points allowed this season. They’re also 12th in points allowed to shooting guards this season, which is obviously second-worst in the entire WNBA.
Gray has averaged nearly 32 minutes per game. She’s also attempted close to ten shots per game and has shot over 42% from the field over the last ten games. The volume should be there for Gray tonight. She’s not the most consistent scorer, but the volume and open looks should result in points.
That said, the Aces could easily win this game by double digits. Maybe Gray won’t play 30+ minutes. But the damage in the first half and third quarter should still be enough for Gray to get at least 13 points.
WNBA Pick: Chelsea Gray Over 12.5 Points (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx
Sunday, July 06, 2025 – 7:00 PM EDT at Target Center
The Chicago Sky have won two of their last three games, scoring at least 92 points in each of their last two wins. However, they’re massive underdogs against the Minnesota Lynx, who have just two losses throughout the entire year.
Ultimately, Angel Reese has had an up-and-down season. But her matchup against Minnesota is not very good.
It’s Time To Fade Angel Reese
Angel Reese is having an insane last couple of weeks. She’s scored at least 17 points in three straight games and has ultimately shut the criticism down.
Reese has been more aggressive with the ball and is getting more minutes as a result. She was averaging about 10 or 11 shots per game, but she’s taken at least 11 shots in four consecutive games.
The confidence is there. However, the Lynx are super good at defending forwards this season. Ultimately, the Lynx have held power forwards to the second-lowest amount of points per game this season. The Lynx aren’t allowing many three-pointers from power forwards. They’re also second in the WNBA in field goal percentage allowed this season.
Reese is surely riding high. But now that her prop is up to 14.5 points, it’s time to fade her. She’s only hit this line in 31% of games this season. Over the last 20 games, she’s hit this line in just 35% of games.
Additionally, she’s averaged 13.5 points per game in two meetings against Minnesota last year. In those two games, she averaged 31.5% from the field and didn’t hit a three, despite taking 16 shots per game.
This game will be a significant challenge for Reese. Therefore, let’s take Reese to add below 14.5 points on the road against the Lynx tonight.
WNBA Pick: Angel Reese Under 14.5 Points (-114) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
