BETTING

WNBA Top Picks for June 26: Is It Worth Fading A’ja Wilson and the Aces Tonight?

A'ja Wilson Las Vegas Aces v Connecticut Sun
A'ja Wilson #22 of the Las Vegas Aces waits to shoot a free throw against the Connecticut Sun. Ethan Miller/Getty Images/AFP

Tonight, Amazon Prime will feature two WNBA games. The Los Angeles Sparks will battle the Indiana Fever, while the Washington Mystics will take on the Las Vegas Aces.

I reviewed each matchup and added a best bet for each game, with the best odds we could find. Let’s have a night!

The Picks

  • Fever -10.5 (-115) 
  • Mystics +7.5 (+100)

*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever

Thursday, June 26, 2025 – 7:00 PM EDT at Gainbridge Fieldhouse

The Indiana Fever will take on the Sparks for the first time this season. The Sparks have lost four consecutive games and are currently 4-11 on the season. Meanwhile, the Fever are 7-7 and last defeated Seattle, 94-88. That said, the Fever are 10.5-point favorites at home, up from 8.5 at open.

Can The Sparks Find Their Spark?

The Los Angeles Sparks have won just 26.7% of games this season. Ultimately, they’re doing better than last year, after winning just 8 of 32 games last season. Ultimately, the Sparks have scored 81.3 points per game, but the defense has allowed 87.3 points per game.

This is the most points per game the Sparks have ever allowed. If this stands, it would be the worst defensive season in Sparks’ history.

While Kelsey Plum was a good addition, she’s only shot 41.7% from inside the arc this season. That’s been a challenge. Meanwhile, Dearica Hamby is second in scoring for the Sparks, but she’s hit just 62.2% from the foul line. Those two top scorers have also combined for six turnovers per game, which is super high.

Caitlin’s Home!

There’s no denying that Caitlin Clark has struggled over her last few games. Indiana was on the road in those three games. But now that they’re back home, you can expect a better performance from Clark.

Her home and away stats, especially from three-point range, are telling. The Fever have added 4.7 net points and have a 4.3 net rating. The offense has been terrific and should carry all the momentum at home when they face the Sparks tonight.

Grab the Fever at -10.5.

WNBA Pick: Fever -10.5 (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook


Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces

Thursday, June 26, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT at Michelob ULTRA Arena

The Washington Mystics are getting closer to .500. They’re 7-8 and have won three of their last four games, including a stunning 68-64 upset over the Minnesota Lynx. They’ll battle a Las Vegas team that looks to be finally coming around.

The Aces are 7-7 but added wins over Indiana and Connecticut to begin a two-game winning streak. At home, they’re still 7.5-point favorites. Yet, the Aces haven’t shown much consistency, and Washington is undoubtedly not an easy out.

Washington Has Improved!

The Washington Mystics have won three consecutive games behind an exciting starting lineup that consists of many young and talented women. Brittney Sykes has been dominant. While she’s hurt, it’s expected she’ll play. In addition, Shakira Austin, Kiki Iriafen, and Sonia Citron have all been key pieces to their success.

Washington is deeper than initially thought. This is a team that can sneak into the playoffs or, at worst, knock another team out. They’re a competitive bunch and pretty well-rounded.

What’s Lacking For The Aces?!

The Las Vegas Aces were expected to compete for a WNBA Championship behind A’ja Wilson. However, this team is 7-7 and not playing nearly as well as in previous seasons. They’ve won two consecutive games, but a blowout win over Connecticut certainly won’t sway me.

After all, the Aces have a 97.8 offensive rating right now. Last season, it was 105, and the year before that, it was 111.5. The offense is not performing nearly as well as it has in the past.

Additionally, the defensive rating is significantly worse than in the last two seasons. They’ve got a negative rating and a negative net points rating. Even Las Vegas’ pace has dipped this year.

While the Aces are home, it’s still hard to trust this team. They’re not consistent and are currently .500 with a stacked starting lineup. I’ll fade them here.

WNBA Pick: Mystics +7.5 (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-GAMBLER

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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