Top NHL Computer Pick for Today’s Slate: Expect Capitals’ Regression Following 8-Goal Haul  

Dylan Strome #17 of the Washington Capitals reacts against the Anaheim Ducks during the third period at Capital One Arena on February 23, 2023 in Washington, DC. Patrick Smith/Getty Images/AFP

NHL Pick: Under 6.5 Goals (-120) at Bet365 

Using OddsTrader’s computer picks, we were able to find tonight’s best bets based on the information generated.

The Washington Capitals are looking to sweep their west coast trip with a visit to the L.A. Kings tonight. Following their impressive 8-3 win over the San Jose Sharks last time out they will be confident of picking up a win tonight.  

With that said the Kings are pushing to stay in a playoff spot, are on home ice, and have gone 7-3 in their previous 10 games compared to the Capitals 3-7.  

With the sportsbooks favoring the Kings by -140 on the moneyline, check out what our computer is predicting for this NHL cross-conference matchup.  

Washington Capitals vs. Los Angeles Kings

Monday, March 6, 2023 – 10:30 PM EST at Arena

Capitals Below Average  

The Washington Capitals have gone 3-8 in their previous 11 trips to Hollywood, and surprisingly all three of those wins came in their previous three games. It truly would be incredible if they could pull off an upset tonight given how strong the Kings have been on home ice in recent weeks.  

The Capitals don’t have much of a chance to make the playoffs this season, hence we believe they could have a down night tonight in what will be their final trip before they head back to the capital.  

The Capitals have a below-par average goals per game with 3.09 but have been much better defensively, allowing the 13th least amount of goals per game. They have the 17th-best powerplay this season, hitting 21% of the time and finally, their penalty kill is amongst the league’s top ten coming in at 8th-best with an 83% success rate.   

Kings Boast Strong Powerplay  

The Los Angeles Kings are still in the hunt for the Western Conference championship, currently sitting in third overall. They trail the Las Vegas Golden Knights by 2 points but have also played one game extra.  

With the league’s third-best powerplay hitting at 25.2%, the Kings have managed to keep the wolves at bay as they are: 

  • Firstly, lucky enough to be in the much weaker Western Conference as their current total of 80 points would only see them fifth in the Eastern Conference and only one point ahead of sixth and seventh.  
  • Secondly, they allow the 12th-most amount of goals per game with 3.34 and are ranked as the highest team in the league to allow the most amount of goals.  

Stats and Trends  

Washington Capitals 

  • The total has gone under in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles 
  • Washington is 13-6 in their last 19 games on the road 
  • Washington is 3-7 in their last 10 games 

Los Angeles Kings  

  • The total has gone over in 10 of Los Angeles’ last 15 games 
  • The total has gone over in 9 of Los Angeles’ last 12 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference  
  • Los Angeles is 3-10 in their last 13 games against an opponent in the Metropolitan Division  

The Pick  

Our computer is predicting a 4-2 L.A. Kings win here which makes the Kings moneyline at -140 a good option. You could also take the -1.5 PK line if you’re feeling brave at +150.  

However we are happy to take the under 6.5 goals total in this one. Yes, the Kings allow a lot of goals but the Capitals are not all that strong going forward and have heavily relied on Alex Ovechkin to score their points this season (60 in 59 played).  

Just 2 of the previous 10 games between these teams at the Crypto Arena have seen 7+ goals, the Capitals might have put 8 past the Sharks but they won’t find scoring easy tonight and we expect some regression.   

Score Prediction: Washington Capitals 2 – Los Angeles Kings 4  

NHL Pick: Under 6.5 Goals (-120) at Bet365 is your sports betting command center. Read featured betting strategy compiled from a panel of leading sports betting experts.

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