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The showdown on October 17, 2025, features the Milwaukee Brewers vs L.A. Dodgers at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA, as Game 4 of the MLB Division Series opens on TBS and TruTV. Milwaukee aims to stave off elimination while the Dodgers look to close out the series with momentum from leading 3-0.
Los Angeles is expected to hand the ball to a right-handed ace, and Milwaukee’s lineup has hit just .230 against right-handed pitching this postseason. Conversely, the Dodgers have enjoyed success versus righties, batting .265 over their last 10 games. Battling at Dodger Stadium, home-field comfort and righty-on-righty edge lean toward L.A.
Our model projects a final score of 4–3 in favor of the Dodgers, but Milwaukee +1.5 stands out with a 63.95% coverage probability and +7.4% EV. The American total Under 8 also offers value, carrying a 54.2% hit rate and +0.7% EV. Our American totals model has been profitable in the last 10 games, winning 6 of them, which underscores the appeal of the Under market.
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![]() CLEP. Messick (L) 13-1122% -143MyBookie | |||||||
MIAC. Paddack (R) 11-1227% -109BetAnything | |||||||
![]() DETK. Montero (R) 12-1116% -106BetAnything | |||||||
TBS. Matz (L) 12-1073% +101BetOnline | |||||||
WSHF. Griffin (L) 10-1374% +138Bet105 | |||||||
BOSC. Early (L) 9-1351% -121Bet105 | |||||||
NYMN. McLean (R) 7-1524% -152BetOnline | |||||||
![]() CHCS. Imanaga (L) 13-916% -127BetOnline | |||||||
KCK. Bubic (L) 7-1612% -116Bet105 | |||||||
![]() TEXK. Rocker (R) 11-1150% -106Bet105 | |||||||
![]() COLJ. Herget (R) 9-1479% +130Everygame | |||||||
LAAJ. Kochanowicz (R) 11-1379% -108Bookmaker | |||||||
SEAL. Castillo (R) 10-1426% -153Everygame | |||||||
![]() AZM. Kelly (R) 13-912% -142Bet105 | |||||||
SFL. Roupp (R) 9-1390% +157Everygame | |||||||
MIAJ. Junk (R) 11-12- -121BetOnline | |||||||
![]() CLET. Bibee (R) 13-11- -128MyBookie | |||||||
TBN. Martinez (R) 12-10- -125BetOnline | |||||||
KCM. Wacha (R) 7-16- -125MyBookie | |||||||
LAAJ. Soriano (R) 11-13- -143BetOnline | |||||||
SEAL. Gilbert (R) 10-14- -185BetOnline | |||||||
![]() DETC. Mize (R) 12-11- -130BetOnline | |||||||
WSHZ. Littell (R) 10-13- +134BetOnline | |||||||
BOSR. Suarez (L) 9-13- +119Heritage | |||||||
![]() COLT. Sugano (R) 9-14- - | |||||||
![]() AZE. Rodriguez (L) 13-9- -138BetOnline | |||||||
SFT. Mahle (R) 9-13- +174Heritage |