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The showdown on October 17, 2025, features the Milwaukee Brewers vs L.A. Dodgers at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA, as Game 4 of the MLB Division Series opens on TBS and TruTV. Milwaukee aims to stave off elimination while the Dodgers look to close out the series with momentum from leading 3-0.
Los Angeles is expected to hand the ball to a right-handed ace, and Milwaukee’s lineup has hit just .230 against right-handed pitching this postseason. Conversely, the Dodgers have enjoyed success versus righties, batting .265 over their last 10 games. Battling at Dodger Stadium, home-field comfort and righty-on-righty edge lean toward L.A.
Our model projects a final score of 4–3 in favor of the Dodgers, but Milwaukee +1.5 stands out with a 63.95% coverage probability and +7.4% EV. The American total Under 8 also offers value, carrying a 54.2% hit rate and +0.7% EV. Our American totals model has been profitable in the last 10 games, winning 6 of them, which underscores the appeal of the Under market.
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TBC. Legumina (R) 44-3329% -136Bet105 | |||||||
PITB. Chandler (R) 40-4080% +133Everygame | |||||||
SFL. Roupp (R) 33-4650% -127BetAnything | |||||||
![]() DETT. Melton (R) 34-4617% -108BetAnything | |||||||
WSHC. Cavalli (R) 41-4075% +166Bookmaker | |||||||
![]() TORK. Gausman (R) 39-410% -147BetOnline | |||||||
NYMF. Peralta (R) 34-4625% -105Bet105 | |||||||
BOSC. Early (L) 32-46100% +144Bookmaker | |||||||
STLM. McGreevy (R) 42-360% -125BetOnline |