- LAST 5 GAMES
- LAST 3 VS MIAMI
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FINAL
May 4, 2026 6:40 PM EDT
PHI 1 vs MIA 0
MIA
-112o8½ (-112)
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Betting Trends Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
Updated:May 4, 2026 2:15 AM EDT
The Philadelphia Phillies face the Miami Marlins on May 4, 2026, in a Major League Baseball regular season game at loanDepot park in Miami, FL. The game will be broadcast on miam. Philadelphia's RHP Aaron Nola, with a 3.176 ERA and 1.1471 WHIP, will start against Miami's RHP Janson Junk, who holds a 3.086 ERA and 1.2 WHIP. Nola's strikeout rate and SIERA slightly trail Junk's, but Nola performs better against right-handed hitters. The Phillies have struggled ATS on the road (4-12), while the Marlins hold a 9-10 ATS home record. The spread is Phillies -1.5, and the total points line is set at 8.5, indicating expectations of moderate scoring. Injuries to Miami's Griffin Conine (10-day IL) could impact offensive production. Recent matchups favor the Phillies, including their 7-2 win on May 3, 2026, which you can review in the previous game analysis. These betting trends and game insights provide valuable context for this MLB matchup.
STARTING PITCHERS
A. Nola (R)PHI - Pitcher
VIEW PROPS
1-0W-L
3.176ERA
1.1471WHIP
LAST 5 GAMES
Game
Score
ATS
O/U
J. Junk (R)MIA - Pitcher
VIEW PROPS
0-1W-L
3.086ERA
1.2WHIP
LAST 5 GAMES
- LAST 5 GAMES
- LAST 3 VS PHILADELPHIA
Game
Score
ATS
O/U
ATS Records
All
- All
- 1st 5
32-49 (29th)Against the Spread42-39 (12th)
17-22Home / Away24-21
-3.8Units+2.6
+1.8Home / Away+5.6
-4.64%ROI3.26%
4.57%Home / Away12.46%
45-36 (6th)Win - Loss42-39 (12th)
22-17Home / Away28-17
35-42-4Over / Under43-35-3
14-24-1Home / Away19-26
HEAD TO HEAD
Recent Results
Game
Score
ATS
O/U
Game
Score
ATS
O/U
HITTING STATISTICS
33.7At Bat32.9
4.4Runs4.3
7.9Hits8.1
1.3Home Runs0.9
4.3Runs Batted In4.1
2.9Base on Balls3.2
8.6Strikeouts8.3
0.8Stolen Base1.1
0.2Batting Average0.2
0.1Intentional Walks0.1
0.4Hit by Pitch0.6
0Sacrifice Hit0.1
0.3Sacrifice Fly0.3
13.5Total Bases12.9
2.8Extra Base Hits2.8
0.5Ground into DP0.6
PITCHING STATISTICS
4.1Earned Run Average4
8.9Innings Pitched8.8
8.8Hits Allowed7.6
4.4Total Runs4.3
4.1Earned Runs4
1.2Home Runs Allowed1
2.7Walks3.4
9.5Strikeouts8.5
1.3WHIP1.3
0.1Shutout0.1
0.1Intentional Walks0.1
0.4Hold0.6
0.5Ground into DP0.6
8.2Ground ball Outs8.1
4.3Fly Outs5.2
0.3Wild Pitches0.3
0Balks0
0.1Pickoffs0
148Pitches Thrown144.5
FIELDING STATISTICS
35.5Total Chances35
26.7Putout26.4
8.4Total Assists8
0.5Errors0.6
0.6Double Plays0.7
0.6Stolen Bases Allowed0.9
0.3Caught Stealing (C)0.2
0.3Stolen Base %0.2
0Passed Balls0.1
0.3Wild Pitches0.3
1Fielding Percentage1
NBCS-PH, NBCSP
MLB
Money
- Run Line
- Money
- Total
- Merged
Game
- Game
- 1st 5
MLBFri 06/26
 PITP. Skenes (R) 41-40100% -201BetOnline | |||||||
 DETK. Montero (R) 34-47100% -114BetAnything | |||||||
 BALT. Rogers (L) 38-44100% -128BetOnline | |||||||
 TORP. Corbin (L) 39-4267% +102Everygame | |||||||
 NYMUndecided 34-47- +142BetOnline | |||||||
 BOSP. Tolle (L) 33-46100% +106Everygame | |||||||
 CLEJ. Cantillo (L) 42-39100% -108BetOnline | |||||||
 TBN. Martinez (R) 45-33- -131Bookmaker | |||||||
 CWSD. Sandlin (R) 41-38- -135MyBookie | |||||||
 MILJ. Misiorowski (R) 49-29- -255BetOnline | |||||||
 MINT. Bradley (R) 38-440% -157Bet105 | |||||||
 STLM. McGreevy (R) 42-3633% -109Bookmaker | |||||||
 LAAW. Ureña (R) 34-48100% +112BetOnline | |||||||
 SDW. Buehler (R) 42-3750% +135Everygame |
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