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Nov 15, 2025 4:30 PM EST
Week 12
WAKE
-6 (-110)o38½ (-110)
The CWMATCHUP
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North Carolina Tar Heels vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons Betting Trends
Updated:Nov 14, 2025 3:12 AM EST
The upcoming Saturday football game on November 15, 2025, between the North Carolina Tar Heels and Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium in Winston-Salem, NC, promises an exciting ACC showdown. Broadcasted on The CW, this match-up features Wake Forest as the favorite with a -6 point spread and a total points line of 38.5, indicating a moderately paced game. The Tar Heels will start their quarterback who has shown steady performance despite some injury questions, while Wake Forest's starting QB is healthy and ready to leverage the home advantage.
Analyzing the betting trends, Wake Forest boasts a superior ATS record of 6-3 overall and 3-2 at home, compared to North Carolina's 5-4 ATS record overall and 3-1 on the road. The Demon Deacons have a strong running offense averaging 141.1 rushing yards per game against a Tar Heels defense that allows 102 rushing yards. However, North Carolina's pass offense averages 178 yards, facing a Wake Forest defense that allows 188 passing yards, suggesting a balanced contest between pass offense and defense.
The pass protection of North Carolina, with an average of 1.4 sacks allowed per game, faces a formidable Wake Forest pass rush averaging 2.1 sacks per game, which could be a key factor in disrupting the Tar Heels’ passing game. The total yards per play are quite close, with Wake Forest slightly ahead at 5.5 yards per play compared to North Carolina's 5.0, indicating Wake Forest's offense may have a slight edge in efficiency.
Recent game stats show that North Carolina has had mixed results with some close losses and wins, while Wake Forest has also experienced ups and downs but maintains a positive momentum. The previous matchup on November 16, 2024, where North Carolina won 31-24, adds an intriguing narrative to this game. For bettors, the -6 spread in favor of Wake Forest and the under 38.5 total suggest betting insights toward a controlled, strategic game rather than a high-scoring shootout.
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ATS Records
All
5-4 (111th)Against the Spread6-3 (46th)
4-5 (161st)Straight Up6-3 (92nd)
-3.5Straight Up Units+3.3
2-7Over / Under4-5
TEAM MATCHUP
OFF
DEF
OFF
DEF
19.4Points23.3
293Total Yards356.7
5Yards Per Play5.5
178Passing Yards215.6
18.1 - 28.3 (63.9%)Completions-Attempts17.1 - 31 (55.2%)
6.3Yards Per Passing Play7
8.2Sacks-Yards Lost9.3
115Rushing Yards141.1
30.3Attempts34.9
3.8Yards Per Rush4
16.11st Downs17.4
7.8Passing8.7
6.3Rushing7.2
2Penalties1.6
4.3 / 13 (33.3%)3rd Down5.4 / 15.3 (35.5%)
1.1 / 1.4 (76.9%)4th Down0.8 / 1.6 (50%)
2.2 / 2.9 (76.9%)Red Zone2.1 / 3.2 (65.5%)
5.8 (52.7)Penalties (Yards)8 (72.2)
0.7Interceptions0.8
0.9Fumbles Lost0.7
60.1Total Plays67.2
4.4Kickoffs4.9
2Returns1.2
37.4Yards29.3
18.7Yards Per Return24
5.1Punts5.8
1.7Returns1.7
12.8Yards24.1
7.7Yards Per Return14.5
Recent Results
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NCAAF Fri 11/14
 #20Louisville 7-229% -1½ -115BetMGM | |||||||
 #8Oregon 8-134% -24½ -115BetMGM | |||||||
 Connecticut 7-322% -7½ -105FanDuel | |||||||
 Charlotte 1-8100% +18½ -110FanDuel | |||||||
 #25Cincinnati 7-218% -6 -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Navy 7-223% +10½ -114BetRivers | |||||||
 #2Indiana 10-016% -29 -112Caesars | |||||||
 #22Pittsburgh 7-270% +12½ -110Caesars | |||||||
 Ball State 4-585% +2½ -106Caesars | |||||||
 Oklahoma State 1-869% +20 -117SugarHouse | |||||||
 #3Texas A&M 9-072% -17½ -110FanDuel | |||||||
 Northwestern 5-445% +11½ -115BetMGM | |||||||
 LSU 5-419% -5 -110Caesars | |||||||
 Tulsa 2-740% +2½ -106FanDuel | |||||||
 Arizona State 6-312% -11 -114SugarHouse | |||||||
 Kentucky 4-5- -21½ -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Georgia State 1-876% +8 -112BetRivers | |||||||
 UAB 3-678% +18½ -115FanDuel | |||||||
 New Mexico 6-317% -14 -115BetRivers | |||||||
 Missouri State 6-30% -4½ -105FanDuel | |||||||
 James Madison 8-170% -21 -109Caesars | |||||||
 Boston College 1-949% +17 -117SugarHouse | |||||||
 Duke 5-449% -4½ -110Caesars | |||||||
 #15Miami (FL) 7-26% -14½ -113BetRivers | |||||||
 Michigan State 3-677% +7½ -114FanDuel | |||||||
 #4Alabama 8-112% -5½ -113BetRivers | |||||||
 Southern Miss 7-236% -3 -110BetMGM | |||||||
 #6Texas Tech 9-187% -23½ -110BetMGM | |||||||
 Louisiana-Monroe 3-667% +4½ -105FanDuel | |||||||
 Illinois 6-318% -15 -113BetRivers | |||||||
 #17USC 7-224% -6 -117SugarHouse | |||||||
 Western Kentucky 7-20% -13 -121SugarHouse | |||||||
 Nevada 1-892% +9½ +102Caesars | |||||||
 East Carolina 6-373% -2½ -120SugarHouse | |||||||
 Tulane 7-225% -17½ -110Caesars | |||||||
 #23Tennessee 6-31% -39½ -110BetMGM | |||||||
 Wake Forest 6-342% -5½ -115BetRivers | |||||||
 Florida International 4-575% +3 -118BetRivers | |||||||
 Georgia Southern 4-540% -3 -114Caesars | |||||||
 Sam Houston State 1-885% +10½ -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Baylor 5-482% +9 -114BetRivers | |||||||
 #7Ole Miss 9-118% -11½ -105BetMGM | |||||||
 Washington 6-39% -16½ -110Bet365 | |||||||
 UNLV 7-212% -6 -110Bet365 | |||||||
 #5Georgia 8-168% -6 -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Florida State 4-515% -13½ -115BetRivers | |||||||
 #1Ohio State 9-036% -31½ -105Bet365 | |||||||
 Missouri 6-327% -6½ -118FanDuel | |||||||
 Jacksonville State 6-375% +3½ -118FanDuel | |||||||
 Washington State 4-58% -7½ -115Bet365 | |||||||
 #12Brigham Young 8-111% -3 -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Fresno State 6-329% -3½ -105BetMGM | |||||||
 San Diego State 7-237% -1½ -112FanDuel | |||||||
 Akron 4-735 -7 -118SugarHouse | |||||||
 Western Michigan 6-417 +2 -139SugarHouse | |||||||
 Massachusetts 0-103 +10 -110BetMGM | |||||||
 Miami (OH) 5-53 +5½ -105Bet365 | |||||||
 Central Michigan 6-438 -2½ -110BetMGM | |||||||
 Old Dominion 7-333 -9 -115BetRivers |
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