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FINAL
Nov 8, 2025 12:00 PM EST
USM 27 vs ARST 21
Week 11
7-6
Southern Miss
27
FINAL
21
7-6
Arkansas State
USM
-6½ (-110)o54 (-110)
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Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Picks

Updated:Nov 8, 2025 3:14 AM EST

The upcoming showdown on November 8, 2025, between the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and Arkansas State Red Wolves at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, AR, is set to be a thrilling part of the 2025-26 NCAAF season. This Saturday football game offers plenty of action for bettors looking to leverage expert picks and predictions.

Our prediction model leans towards a close game with Southern Miss predicted to edge out Arkansas State 30-27. The spread suggests Southern Miss at -5, while the total points are expected to be around 57, indicating a potentially high-scoring contest. Our American Total market has shown a solid hit rate and positive EV in the last 10 games, making the over 54.5 points a smart bet for this matchup.

Southern Miss has demonstrated strong recent performances with a 60.6% coverage percentage on the 2-way market and a favorable point spread record. Arkansas State, meanwhile, holds a 53.7% coverage percentage backing them with the spread. These stats highlight how bettors can make informed decisions by analyzing coverage percentages and expected values.

Catch this exciting NCAAF game live on ESPNU and the ESPN networks. For those looking to dive deeper into college football betting, check out our comprehensive NCAAF picks and predictions. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge.

What is the predicted score for the game?
UPCOMING GAME PREDICTION
Spread
Money
Total
team
ARSTSpread
CONSENSUS LINE
+5½ (-110)
PROJECTION
ARST (27) - USM (30)
COVER PROBABILITY
55%
EXPECTED VALUE
+2.4%
BET RATING
SEASON COVER %
6/9
67%
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